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SomeguyfromTakomaPark

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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    1-3 of snow that sticks is better than our 60th rainstorm in a row...so I’m not mad at this.
  2. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Not a lot of disasters in there either. 90% of those would make most of us pretty happy.
  3. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    It shouldn’t substantially.
  4. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    If it plays out this way this is a pretty big bust for the GFS/GEFS. They were spitting out weenie runs until 6z today. I guess maybe the fact that no one is calibrating/checking data had an impact.
  5. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yeah, and if 12z today puts the nail in the coffin on a warming event I’d rather know sooner than later. Still somewhat encouraging the EPS hasn’t given up on the coastal completely yet.
  6. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    More strung out at hour 66, wouldn't think this will end up as good with the coastal but you never know.
  7. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    So about the same as 0z, still a decent light event.
  8. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Seeing on phillywx the 6z Euro not as good for that area, not sure what it means for us.
  9. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    It is all snow, good CCB action.
  10. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    GFS - 6-8 EURO - 2-4 CMC - 6-8 UK - 4-6 ICON - 2-4 EPS - 2-4 GEFS - 3-6 Am I missing anything? Seems like we’re locked in for at least a light event.
  11. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    That’s only 12z Sunday, anything from the coastal would be after that you’d think...
  12. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    It looked a lot more like the good runs from yesterday early, but then struck out on the WAA snows. Still a light event from the coastal.
  13. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Wow big hit, 0.75 for DC.
  14. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    There are at least 5 typos/grammar errors in that. I know they're working without pay over there but still...
  15. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    This is actually just about the perfect map IMO. No sharp cutoffs around our area.
  16. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    And 13/20 get us to 2+ inches in DC, so at least we're not staring at a bunch of complete misses.
  17. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Tough to tell with all the shades of blue but it looks like 5-6 for DC proper and a good portion of the CWA. Like the look a lot.
  18. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    CMC is also a nudge NW with the QPF. So far the 12z suite is unanimous with 3-4 inches falling in DC proper.
  19. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Total precip map is a nice jump north on par with the ICON. 0.5 makes it to DC.
  20. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Definitely an improvement from 6z in terms of the QPF, not as good as the big runs yesterday but definitely not another step back.
  21. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    ICON is a decent shift north. 0.5 QPF almost to DC.
  22. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yeah I like that too. A 2-4 inch storm with cold temps and decent ratios is where I'm setting my bar for this one.
  23. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Pretty significant drop from yesterday 12z when the 0.5 line was up near PA but still keeps us in the game for a light/moderate event.
  24. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    A good 6z EPS run would calm a lot of nerves around here.
  25. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    The good thing with this storm is the northern edge, as modeled, is significantly further north and puts us in the game for at least a light event. With the December storm at this range we were not really modeled to get anything.
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