Massachusetts and Pennsylvania seem to be a little behind NYC/NJ/MICH/LA in terms of peak. Hopefully after those two places peak that will be the last major hot spots where we see 100+ deaths per day. Still possible our region has a later peak I guess but maybe our social distancing has smoothed it enough we’re just less severe plateau. Either way encouraging signs all around!
Another good sign I’ve been noticing is case counts and deaths seem to have fallen off a cliff in Louisiana and Michigan. Glad to see a big downswing in those places.
Holding under 25k new cases for the day and NY with only around 6k, one of the lowest new case count days I can remember. Hopefully this continues through the week.
Hey, but like I said last night, in order to try to keep this thread a little more focused and less sloppy I’m going to reduce my back and forths with you. Cheers!
looks like another 1500+ death day today. Lower than last weeks average so hopefully we’re coming off the peak and it’s not just the weekend reporting.
The easiest way you can tell conclusively this is not comparable to the flu is that 0 public health experts or Epidemiologists are making that argument.
These charts are pretty interesting. I was wondering why they weren’t per capita but it turns out epidemiologists don’t favor that approach. Epidemics don’t necessarily spread faster in larger populations.
Yes it’s an interesting question. I forget where I saw it but I saw somewhere that they think most of the benefit of school closing comes from the fact it caused the adults to stay home more.
Yeah I’m also wondering if I should continue to pay for daycare, i was planning on pulling my kids out this summer since I’m a teacher and I can look after them over the summer.
I fully understand all the reasons why daily case counts aren’t the ideal metric but I really like to rile you up. The last 3 times I’ve posted the 30k thing it’s just to get a response from you.
No ones mad. I think I’m going to stop antagonizing you now though. While It’s extremely fun/entertaining for me but I can see why this thread would be better off if I stopped doing this. So I’ll stop. Anyways have a good evening.
Our testing volume has plateaued recently. If we keep finding the same number of cases on approx the same number of tests that shows the prevalence might not be dropping very much. The current volume of cases is causing thousands of deaths a day. I’m not sure what’s complicated about that for you.