SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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I hope you’re right! It’s been a while since we instituted the social distancing so hopefully the numbers are indeed peaking.
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I’ll say this @showmethesnow, I think again you’re sort of overthinking it. Its pretty simple to me, once the number of new cases and then hospitalizations/deaths are steadily dropping that’s when we can say we’re on the downswing.
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Without any baseline the testing still shows an incredible amount of sick people. And I know Maryland cleared out it’s big backlog of testing so these aren’t people who got tested very long ago anymore. The testing data absolutely is indicative of the virus being very widespread.
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I think this is a very optimistic analysis of the situation. We’re still adding 30,000+ cases a day nationally, and just in MD/DC/VA we’re adding over 1,000 cases per day with limited testing criteria. That’s a lot of sick people and an indication that virus is extremely widespread. IMO we have a long ways to go.
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We might be near the peak in terms of deaths per day, but the problem is Italy is about 2 weeks off its peak deaths and is still recording like 60-70% of its peak deaths each day. Coming down the backside of this peak won’t be quick.
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I apologize for throwing the Fox News at you. I understand where you’re coming from. I’m going to stop the politics now because I was told it’s not allowed in this thread. No hard feelings.
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Ok well for the sake of this thread I’ll take it offline. But if @showmethesnow or @SnowGolfBro want to continue further in the politics forum I’d be happy to.
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I’m just getting tired of the framing of this debate I see from right wing media. Of course you’re free to think my ideas are a load of BS and I’d be happy to hear about why if you want to explain.
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I wasn’t sure if that was allowed or not. If the mods don’t want politics in here I’m happy to oblige, but it’s hard to separate covid from politics.
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Of course everyone wants to open it up ASAP, the question is how to do that while minimizing loss of life. Since your post doesn’t address this issue in a meaningful way it’s hard to engage with you.
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I’d really like to see zipcode data on this. If the poorer parts of PG adjacent to SE DC are a hot spot and that bleeds into SE DC that could be a public health nightmare.
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I imagine the strain on our hospital system must be becoming noticeable now. That’s a lot of people to add in one day.
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It seems like you’re overthinking it. It kind of is pretty simple. Reduce human contact to reduce spread.
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I dunno if anyone’s been keeping track but also +296 hospitalizations. Is that the highest one day addition yet?
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I think the difference in infection spread caused by reducing contact with others vs any increased contact with your family is several orders of magnitude.
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I don’t find this line of reasoning compelling. My wife and kids and I are in close contact regardless of quarantine. The important factor that changes with social distancing is contact with people beyond my immediate family.
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I don’t follow this point. It will spread within family units regardless. Social distancing limits spread between family units. I don’t think most, if any, public health expert would agree with the idea that social distancing has no benefits if there are large infection rates. To the contrary, I think most public health experts would say social distancing is most needed when infection rates are large.
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Yes! All these comparisons with other forms of risk aren’t analogous at all.
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Yes of course, at some point when the risk is lower. But moving on will probably not mean just rushing back into life as it used to be, as @mappy and @Eskimo Joe have pointed out.
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Yes this is true. But we minimize risks where we can. And this particular risk is exponentially greater than the risks you list and we have a way to minimize it. 799 people, probably over 1,000 if you count the deaths at home, died yesterday in ny state. This is not something we can allow to happen everywhere.
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If you open up too early we risk being back in lockdown again, which ultimately would be worse than extending an original lockdown to make sure we’re good to go.
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It’s awful....the PG outbreak is particularly concerning, their numbers have been accelerating.
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Maryland with big numbers again today, 33 new deaths and 783 new cases.
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I think the way you are framing this is incorrect, the way to fix the economy is to end the epidemic spread of covid-19. Any attempt to open up for business while there is widespread sustained community transmission will ultimately do more harm than good to the economy. As Anthony Fauci says the virus determines the timeline, not us.
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This is probably true, luckily the places with the worst outbreaks currently are all run by governors who seem to be cautious. Wuhan just opened up today, but the amount of surveillance, monitoring, and contact tracing they can employ obviously isn’t feasible here. It will be interesting to see how this plays out.
