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SomeguyfromTakomaPark

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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Ole uncle Ukie looks really good for the follow up, 999 low in Alabama. Edit: Ninja'ed by @yoda
  2. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I hope so, 6Z EPS strongly disagrees with the GFS on the timing of the boundary crossing our area. At 144 the GFS has the boundary south of our area in southern VA while the 6z EPS has the boundary running from Pittsburgh to upstate NY.
  3. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    156 500 map looks ripe for a Miller A.
  4. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yeah it sure does, looks like its setting up for a nicer hit than 06z with the higher heights on the east coast....we shall see.
  5. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    1.5” puts me at 15 for the year counting November.
  6. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I like how that little blob SW is gonna refresh this band.
  7. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    0.75” in Takoma Park, roads starting to cave. Very nice out.
  8. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    SN in Takoma Park, nice little burst.
  9. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Steady light snow under the light greens, those green/yellows should deliver a burst of moderate snow. Snow on snow. Can’t complain.
  10. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    GFS almost wants to give us some snowTV again for Sunday. I'd happily take my arctic front with some snowTV.
  11. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    HRRR says the last batch misses DC to the north so yeah maybe.
  12. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Euro not even close on the next storm, ugly 500 evolution. Rain up almost to Montreal.
  13. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    The GFS has us changing over to snow at 13z-14z Sunday per the precip-type maps on stormvista. Precip departs between 18z-19z so it supports a period of back end snow, although rather light (<.1 QPF). Could be some nice snowtv though as the arctic front comes through.
  14. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Man, the ICON really is eye candy. Temps crash and we go over to sleet/freezing rain then 1-3+ inches of snow with the departing CCB. Really doubt it happens since that's a pretty rare event and no other model has that but it sure is pretty to look at.
  15. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Does the UK catch us with anything from the departing low or is it all front-end?
  16. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Wow, ICON hits us with a deform as the coastal departs. Not putting any faith in that solution but it would be amazing to score a win out of this system.
  17. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Similar to what the CMC has been showing.
  18. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Are there any EPS members that do anything with a trailing wave or changeover scenario? The EPS mean snowfall makes me think there are at least a few...
  19. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Looks like not much falls after the 850 line passes at 18z, but snowmaps on stormvista do show some accumulation.
  20. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    That's true, and as a DC guy I wouldn't even be mad considering we just scored. My bar is low for this one. If DC can get 1-2 inches as the arctic front came through I'd be more than happy. 06z EPS mean maps look a little better for the DC area with a potential changeover. Here is the 24 hour 06z snow map ending ending Sunday afternoon with 00z for comparison.
  21. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Comparing the Euro at 90h on 06z to 96h on 00z I see the vort over the deep south is a little further SW, I'm assuming that's what we're looking for because that might imply better separation of the streams and less phasing?
  22. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    It looks better. Colder and wetter. Stormvista has 2-4 for DC.
  23. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Looks like the cold outruns the precipitation by a wide margin this run, no hints of a trailing wave I can decipher. Edit: I mean precip outruns cold
  24. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Not even close with the lead wave or any potential trailing wave.
  25. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    So you're not totally giving up on the trailing wave?
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