Powerball

Oh goody, more flooding...

So far, this week hasn't been as bad as originally feared.Monday was the only cool/rainy day. Yesterfay and today have featured hoghs at/above 90*F and partly cloudy skies after the morning stratus breaks up.It's ultimately only been slightly below normal, thanks to the overnight lows around average..

Awesome looking shelf clouds.

Even with these "cool" days to end the month and the cold days to start the month, thanks to the 2-3 weeks of hot temps in the middle, it appears DFW will end the month of June right around average (as of today, the departure is +0.4*F)

I guess we're in the same miserable club together. Had a torrential downpour yesterday afternoon at around 2pm, on June 28th, and wasn't a rumble of thunder nor a lightning strike to be found. But in other news, I read that San Antonio observed ( I believe it was) Texas' largest hailstone ever this season. Apparently, this just isn't our year for strong/severe t'storms..

Looking good for a modest severe weather episode in the Detroit area today.

Not quite (I gotta fact check you on this ). Detroit's JJA skycover is similar to cities in the SE, but Texas is definitely still sunnier. Number of days (Skycover %) June Detroit – 8 (0-30%); 11 (40-70%); 11 (70%+) Charlotte – 7 (0-30%); 11 (40-70%); 12 (70%+) Atlanta – 8 (0-30%); 12 (40-70%); 10 (70%+) Miami – 3 (0-30%); 14 (40-70%); 13 (70%+) Dallas – 11 (0-30%); 12 (40-70%); 8 (70%+) Houston – 7 (0-30%); 13 (40-70%); 9 (70%+) July Detroit – 9 (0-30%); 12 (40-70%); 10 (70%+) Miami – 3 (0-30%); 17 (40-70%); 11 (70%+) Atlanta - 6 (0-30%); 13 (40-70%); 12 (70%+) Charlotte – 7 (0-30%); 12 (40-70%); 12 (70%+) Dallas – 15 (0-30%); 10 (40-70%); 6 (70%+) Houston – 7 (0-30%); 16 (40-70%); 8 (70%+) August Detroit – 9 (0-30%); 11 (40-70%); 11 (70%+) Miami – 2 (0-30%); 18 (40-70%); 11 (70%+) Atlanta – 7 (0-30%); 13 (40-70%); 10 (70%+) Charlotte – 7 (0-30%); 13 (40-70%); 11 (70%+) Dallas – 15 (0-30%); 10 (40-70%); 6 (70%+) Houston – 6 (0-30%); 17 (40-70%); 8 (4-7) (70%+)

I see DTW has logged yet another 89*F today (that's gotta be at like 20 88*F or 89*F days for the season). Yet, stll no 90*F, even though DET has hit 90*F now 3 times. It's getting comical at this point.

I'm going to make a bold prediction and say that DFW won't see a single 100*F+ day this year (the average is 20 days). I hope I'm wrong.

What's really crazy is that, based on everything I can find, there was virtually no lightning with this activity. It's extremely unusal to see those type of rainfall amounts (outside a Tropical Storm / Hurricane) without lightning.

The old NWS NEXRAD radar can be found at the link below. But naturally, the site is down for maintenance right now. https://gis.ncdc.noaa.gov/maps/ncei/radar The University of Iowa also still uses the old NWS NEXRAD radar (with a loop): https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/GIS/apps/rview/warnings.phtml?autopilot=0&osite=FWD&tzoff=0&layers[]=nexrad&layers[]=warnings&layers[]=cwas&layers[]=uscounties&layers[]=watches&layers[]=blank&site=FWD&tz=CDT&archive=yes&year=2021&month=6&day=7&hour=9&minute=35&warngeo=both&zoom=250&imgsize=640x480&loop=1&frames=25&interval=15&filter=0&cu=0&sortcol=fcster&sortdir=0&lsrlook=%2B&lsrwindow=0

^^^Premature.

I mean...weren't you going to do the same thing (drive for isolated supercell-type stuff) in Northern Indiana? ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Bingo!

In the past few weeks, I have started dining in at restaurants and going to the movies again (hadn't been since the start of the pandemic last year) without a mask on. Even went to the casino a couple times and got a haircut. That said, I do still wear masks if I'm shopping inside of a store or at the drive thru window.

Today's high at DFW was 95*F, despite the stratocumulus deck all morning. After the "cold" start to the month of June, we actually rebounded to a positive temp departure before yesterday (now's it's back down to -0.1*F).

For a relatively quiet severe weather season, it has been really bad luck with the relatively few strong tornadoes we have seen going through highly populated areas, and during the nighttime at that. First, it was the EF3 tornado that tracked through the southern suburbs of Birminggam (Shelby County), then the EF4 tornado that tracked through the southern suburbs of Atlanta (Newnan) and now this other tornado that hit the western suburbs of Chicago (Naperville).

I tend to think including Southern Michigan in the Severe Thunderstorm Watch is a little too ambitious given the front and instability/moisture gradient still sits along the MI/IN/OH border. But I could be wrong. We'll see.

Yeah, I've had my tire blow out on the highway too. "Some kind of entertainment" is definitely a way to describe it, lol. I'm glad you're ok.

Since when did the highlighted area become "around Chicago?"

Mesoscale Discussion 1036 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0325 PM CDT Sun Jun 20 2021 Areas affected...Portions of eastern Illinois and northern Indiana Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 202025Z - 202230Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...There is an increasing severe weather threat late this afternoon and into the evening from east-central Illinois into northern Indiana. DISCUSSION...An MCV has traversed northern Missouri and western Illinois through the morning and early afternoon today. The convection has been mostly weak, likely due to the stable, capped downstream airmass from the overnight MCS in the region. In fact, almost all lightning has now ended within this cluster. However, a remnant MCV can still be seen in radar imagery from the KILX WSR-88D. The 19Z RAOB from KILX shows the stable airmass with MLCIN near -200 J/kg. However, the hodograph does show decent clockwise curvature within the lowest 3 km and moderate mid-level flow. This is likely a good proximity hodograph for later storms which are expected to form near this MCV later this afternoon/early evening. Despite the lackluster storm development thus far, this is expected to change in the next 1 to 2 hours as this MCV moves into east central Illinois where the airmass was not worked over by overnight convection. In this region dewpoints are in the low 70s with temperatures in the mid 80s with the SPC mesoanalysis suggesting 2000 J/kg MLCAPE. This instability, combined with 45 to 50 knots of effective shear per 19Z ILX RAOB and SPC mesoanalysis should be sufficient for supercell development. Any supercells which develop may have a risk of all hazards including a couple of tornadoes. The tornado threat will likely be greatest in a narrow corridor where winds are backed to southerly near the MCV and near the warm front where low-level vorticity should be enhanced. ..Bentley/Hart.. 06/20/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...LOT...ILX... LAT...LON 39828860 40048872 40738869 41348849 41618788 41638701 41768622 41718552 41488527 40798527 40108660 40048723 39728838 39828860

Maybe a sign for you this event isn't worth storm chasing.

Just FYI, when the SPC outlines an area in red, 95% of the time it indicates a Tornado Watch is forthcoming.

Did you all think it would come easy? That doesn't happen this year, lol.