Powerball

Not too shabby of an event. It was definitely a failure to not issue a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for DTX's CWA though.

Welp, can't go to the Bahamas now... Bahamas closes borders to U.S. tourists after COVID-19 cases spike; others still welcome We (the United States) have become the world's ghetto.

That 2nd round of storms produced a decent pop of wind. Saw several down branches.

Severe Thunderstorm Warning MIC115-163-191900- /O.NEW.KDTX.SV.W.0056.200719T1802Z-200719T1900Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 202 PM EDT Sun Jul 19 2020 The National Weather Service in Detroit/Pontiac has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northeastern Monroe County in southeastern Michigan... Wayne County in southeastern Michigan... * Until 300 PM EDT. * At 202 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Salem to Romulus to near Flat Rock, moving east at 45 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. * Severe thunderstorms will be near... Flat Rock around 205 PM EDT. Taylor and Greenfield Village around 210 PM EDT. Livonia, Wyandotte, Trenton and Grosse Ile around 215 PM EDT. Dearborn around 220 PM EDT. Downtown Detroit around 225 PM EDT. Detroit and Belle Isle around 230 PM EDT. Grosse Pointe around 245 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by these severe thunderstorms include Newport, Melvindale, Gibraltar, New Boston, Woodland Beach, Stony Point, Rockwood, Harper Woods, Westland and Grosse Pointe Shores. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 4208 8363 4209 8354 4243 8355 4245 8283 4236 8288 4232 8306 4229 8309 4224 8313 4213 8312 4205 8315 4200 8313 4197 8316 4198 8323 4193 8326 4188 8332 TIME...MOT...LOC 1802Z 259DEG 40KT 4241 8354 4222 8335 4202 8328 HAIL...<.75IN WIND...60MPH $$ SF

Raining to beat the drums outside. Nothing severe though, and not a lot of thunder and lightning.

Welp, 90*F isn't going to happen today. This heatwave definitely fell way short of expectations locally, no doubt.

I'm as progressive and pro-labor as they come, but I'm also a business major and have worked in the private sector. You are 100% correct about Ford. To add, when Henry Ford was offering $5 / day, it wasn't out of altruism. It was to poach workers from other local automakers (I.E. Packard, Hudson, GM, etc.) he had to compete with. And it helped that he didn't have to offer fringe benefits such as health insurance and retirement benefits as well. That being said, I think the point is still being missed. The issue is many folks are having a philosophical debate about whether the economy and individual liberties should take priority over protecting the health of the general public, instead of a realistic debate about how we should be stopping the spread of the virus.

The slight risk area has been expanded further NW again.

Between that and what you pointed out earlier about the shortwave, I'm definitely feeling better about Detroit's severe weather chances than I did last night. None of the models seemingly have a handle of the storms over the southern part of Lake Michigan back through Illinois.

Purely anecdotal based on past observations, but in the past I've noticed when there's limited cirrus debris blowing out ahead a complex of storms, they tend to reintensify with the onset of daytime heating.

Then I suggest you look up the Supreme Court case Jacobsen vs. Massachusetts (1905).

Looks like clear skies ahead of the QLCS. Should allow for quick heating. The more interesting thing to see will be if the QLCS maintains its integirty and reintensifies for a formidable severe threat. The 06z NAM certainly hints at this outcome. The instability is already there, and good moisture advection is ongoing.

90*F at DTW as of 5pm (91*F at DET).

90*F at DET. Only 89*F at DTW so far.

Called it.

Thread should probably be extended to include the 19th, for the Eastern GL and OH Valley. I wouldn't be surprised if the slight risk area gets expanded back NW to Detroit and Toledo, although it is contingent on how tonight's activity evolves. SPC AC 180558 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 AM CDT Sat Jul 18 2020 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN OH INTO NORTHWESTERN PA AND WESTERN NY... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms may occur Sunday from portions of the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley regions into the mid Mississippi Valley and parts of the Plains. Damaging winds and large hail should be the main threats. ...Great Lakes into the Ohio Valley and Western New York... An MCS may be ongoing at the start of the period Sunday morning across parts of Lower MI, with additional convection possible farther south into northern IL/IN. This MCS should decay quickly across Lower MI and vicinity as it encounters substantial convective inhibition with eastward extent across the Great Lakes region. Depending on its organization, it may still pose an isolated threat for damaging winds before it weakens/dissipates. In the wake of this morning activity, an upper trough is forecast to move east-northeastward from the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes into Ontario and Quebec through the period. A surface low should likewise develop northeastward across Ontario/Quebec through the day. A cold front trailing southwestward from this low across the Great Lakes/Upper Midwest should shift east-southeastward. Diurnal heating of a rather moist low-level airmass will likely foster moderate to potentially strong instability ahead of the front by Sunday afternoon. The stronger large-scale ascent associated with the upper trough should remain in Canada. Regardless, low to mid-level westerly flow is forecast to strengthen through the day across parts of the OH Valley into western PA/NY. A corresponding modest increase in effective bulk shear to around 25-35 kt will probably be sufficient for storm organization. Current expectations are for scattered storms to develop along/ahead of the front Sunday afternoon across northern IN/OH. Additional convection may advance eastward from southern Ontario across Lakes Erie/Ontario, and into northwestern PA and western NY by early Sunday evening. Clusters/small bows should the main storm mode. With steepened low-level lapse rates and enhanced low/mid-level flow across these areas, at least isolated damaging wind gusts may occur. Isolated instances of marginally severe hail also appear possible. Confidence has increased enough regarding this scenario to include 15% severe wind probabilities and a corresponding Slight Risk from northern OH into western NY. Storms should gradually weaken Sunday evening farther east into central PA/NY as they encounter less instability.

With temps just getting to 80*F at 12pm, I can't see how 90*F happens here today (even with full sunshine). Obviously mixing heights are shot. There's still several hours of heating left to go though, so we'll see.

DET did tag an intra-hour 90*F before the storms moved in, but unfortuntely DTW wasn't so lucky only making it to 87*F. So the 90*F+ streak officially ended yesterday, after 8 consecutive days.

It's going to be a race against time today. Starting off warm with a temp of 77*F, clear skies and 925mb temps of 25*C, but the clouds and convection are steadily moving NE. Most models still have us tagging 90*F though, which would make it the 9th consecutive day for Detroit.

Nothing here, but areas around Highland Park and immediately to the west have a flash flood warning and severe thunderstorm warning.

The lake breeze storms kicked off early today as I'm hearing thunder now. After hitting an intra-hour 91*F, DET has fallen back down to 85*F.

Damn...

The lake breeze front off Lake St. Clair clashed with a nice outflow boundary from storms in the Tri-Cities earlier, giving us a nice drenching t'storm right now.

DTX has issued a Heat Advisory for today and an Excessive Heat Watch is in effect through Thursday evening.