Powerball

I'm almost tempted to make a thread, as February 12th - 13th seems to have good potential for a significant winter storm across the region. The GFS has been showing it for the past couple of runs, and there's good ensemble support. The setup has some similarities to the PV Blizzard back on 1/6/14. That said, I would like to see some more agreement from the EURO and GGEM first.

It seems 4" is the general rule across Metro Detroit, which is pretty impressive given how short in duration the snowfall was.

More lightning strikes now over Lake St. Clair.

The weather weenies at CMU are definitely getting a treat:

Thundersnow right now in Metro Detroit. I'm almost certain michsnowfreak saw/heard something, based on lightning tracker.

CLE's not here to play. Their response:

Several stations in MI and IN are now report SN- and SN.

I'd keep an eye out for TSSN on Thursday afternoon/evening too, as it looks like some pretty decent mid-level instability is showing up.

And before that, they also got decent snow with 3/21/18 and 1/4/18.

I guess we'll find out how well this entire page of posts ages...

Detroit does 'em best.

Someone on here posted a link to this website, which is what I use (it's a NOAA site, BTW): https://mrms.nssl.noaa.gov/qvs/product_viewer/

Yeah, I found the data and edited my post. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/vtec/#2020-O-NEW-KDTX-WS-W-0001/USCOMP-N0Q-202001180300

It doesn't look like a Winter Storm Warning has been issued yet this season for DTX's CWA. In fact, the last one was issued back on 1/18/20.

You got access to models that we don't?

That's not quite how it works, lol...

The *ONLY drawback to 2013-2014 was that Detroit still failed to get a big dog snowstorm, although it did finally happen in February 2015. That said, another highlight to the 2013-2014 winter was the surprise TSSN to freezing rain/ice event on 2/20/14 that was originally supposed to be a cold rain (temps maxed out at 35*F). It only further solidified the already deep snowpack.

Hmmm, it certainly seem as though they don't make winters like 1977-1978 any more, where places like Dallas, Chicago *AND* Boston all have a stellar season.

Yes.

Maybe that dust storm will make for a nice sunset here.

It's been Sunny here since Monday following last weekend's Winter Storm. I'll take this type of zzzzz any day in January. And it looks to continue through at least Sunday. Even the wrap around cloud cover from the ULL is projected to miss us just to the NE.

Yes to the bolded. With the dominant wind out of the NW in the winter time over the warm lake water, you're going to have persistent advection of moisture inland that's enough to ensure the reproduction and maintenance of clouds (though not necessarily precip) with just a wee bit of rising air. Unless you get a strong high pressure system behind a major storm to produce enough sinking air to overwhelm the moisture advection off the lake, or an offshore wind flow, you're shit out of luck if you want to see much sun. That is (in part) why I'm down south now, lol.

As someone who grew up in the Midwest and has lived in the South for several years, I don't find the level of friendliness or rudeness to be different at all. There are cultural differences though that may give some credence to perceptions people have. While it is true that Southerners tend to be more outgoing and Midwesterners tend to be more reserved, Southerners can be passive-aggressive in their own way just like Midwesterners.

Snow has tapered off, and only left a dusting in isolated patches on the grass and rooftops.

It is ripping here with big fat flakes. No accumulation though (so far).