Powerball
-
Posts
14,286 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Powerball
-
I don't think you're remembering Jan 4-6, 2014 correctly. See below to review the surface/mid/upper level maps. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/NARR/2014.html
-
Feb 15/16 2021 actually first came to my mind as a possible analog for this storm.
-
I figured they would have at least corrected themselves when the 1st person questioned their original tweet. But instead, they dug in their heels and doubled down.
-
True, but also take into consideration it was always NW of the OP.
-
Not a good sign to see the GEFS shift south like the op GFS, if there's hoping it was a fluke.
-
It's not even about being a weenie though. They're just loud and wrong. @michsnowfreak you see this shit? @RCNYILWX come get your coworker.
-
Ed D. has a point...
-
Most of the recent model runs have the precip ending by Thursday evening. But that EURO run might grind another 1-2" more out on top of what was on that map.
-
I'm sure it would bury MKE.
-
Besides that, the 06z runs might have been the start of the models correcting to relatively more realistic amounts in the heaviest band.
-
That would be close to my original call, but not trip worthy. It's actually a bit drier than the 00z run.
-
These are pretty bullish watches too. DTX's early call is 12-15" in Detroit.
-
There was another bump NW on the 06z RGEM.
-
The 00z UKMET was a decent bump NW and is considerably wetter, but with the caveat that it was already on the far southern end of guidance.
-
Meanwhile here, I'm going to be dealing with a significant ice storm that will likely knock out power. That said, plane tickets ain't cheap, lol.
-
I haven't decided yet.
-
Considering it's been on the north/amped end of the model suite, relative to the other global models, that would be disconcerting.
-
True. But to the point mimillman got at, hopefully we're not seeing the end of the north trend already.
-
I have to imagine those Ohio numbers near the shore are, at least somewhat, lake enhanced. It would even more crazy if it were 100% synoptic.
-
It's looking like we're not going to get more clarity to pull the trigger (or not) on our travel plans this round of runs.
-
GFS looks like it ticked south with the main system.
-
Not enough time to make a 1000 mile trip if the weenie runs end up being right.
-
Not only that, but to provide more buffer, it's sitting squarely in the middle of the southern UKMET/GGEM and the northern Hi-Res models.
-
True. Frankly, when considering all the model outputs right now, DTW's in a solid position.
-
Verbatim, DTW's still all snow at the end of the run, but yeah that sleet line is close for sure.
