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Powerball

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Everything posted by Powerball

  1. Powerball
    FFS. The 06z runs are the worst yet for ice. Widespread 0.50"+ freezing rain across *ALL* THE Metroplex. And that's not including the sleet on top of it. What a ****ing disaster.
  2. Powerball
    You mean it had a shift in orientation.
  3. Powerball
    Pretty decent bump south with the 2nd wave on the 00z GFS.
  4. Powerball
    But somehow, Toronto still makes out quite well with the storm on the 00z RGEM. Yet, Cleveland gets a massive sleet fest.
  5. Powerball
    I think Brian D's original title was more appropiate for this storm.
  6. Powerball
    Maybe not, it hit a wall in Kentucky.
  7. Powerball
    It might be cutting due NNE into Ohio.
  8. Powerball
    2nd wave relatively organized on the RGEM over Memphis (60hr). EDIT: Meant Nashville.
  9. Powerball
    Since someone asked earlier, here's the 00z HRW FV3 through 12z Thursday. It also shows that "lull" between waves like the NAM.
  10. Powerball
    There is certainly the remote possibility that enough spacing between the first and second wave could allow for that 2nd wave to cut to Cincinnati, which would bring back the solution we were seeing a couple days ago.
  11. Powerball
    It did try to finally cut towards the end there, but still too little too late for those on the northern edge.
  12. Powerball
    It makes sense. As the first wave trends beefier, it surpresses heights in its wake that forces the 2nd wave further south, along with the better forcing/moisture.
  13. Powerball
    One trend that seems to be legit is that the models are getting beefier with the amounts from that first round. The 00z NAM continues that trend.
  14. Powerball
    It looks like DFW will be safe from precip between now and Midnight.
  15. Powerball
    Truer words never spoken, lol.
  16. Powerball
  17. Powerball
    Oh I'm sure, because there was still another 6 hours of snow to go.
  18. Powerball
    Seems like more the area of snow expanded on the edges, which made up for any shifts. It's also a bit wetter.
  19. Powerball
    Can someone please post the 18z EURO map?
  20. Powerball
    Relax. RAP is notorious for being way NW / too amped in its long range. It's mostly being posted as weenie fodder for those on the northern edge.
  21. Powerball
    That 21z RAP would probably look like the 12z GFS run from 1/29, if extrapolated. But alas, that is the ceiling.
  22. Powerball
    As I said earlier, the last time it got something right was GHD 1 right, haha! But it's a northern outlier right now any way.
  23. Powerball
    See bottom of page 15.
  24. Powerball
    It did get GHD 1 right. So anything's possible, lol.
  25. Powerball
    I think he meant in terms of the epic amounts. Those might end up south of the border. But in terms of getting a decent storm, then yeah, that seems to be guaranteed for Southern MI.
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