Powerball
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Everything posted by Powerball
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And of course, the 00z RGEM is wetter and bumped NW.
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Heck, I think I've only seen Hail maybe 3 times with a thunderstorm. Two of those times it was stray stones mixed in with rain. And as far as thundersnow, I've only seen it 2 times (one of which was with a LES squall). I'm not exactly a spring chicken either.
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I'm just amazed at how these storms seemingly keep unraveling when we get so close to onset.
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In essence, the NAM suggests that the string of WSW and WWAs in Michigan have been extended 1 row of counties too far north. And that's not even considering it's been on the more amped/NW end of guidance the entire time
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Can't help but feel bad for the mets in Detroit if the bleeding doesn't stop, after what happened with GHD 3.
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HRW FV3 is also drier and it bumped south.
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00z HRRR is also notably drier.
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GHD 3?
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The GEM, which needs love too, has also been on the right track for this storm along with the EURO, especially with the drying trend.
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Severe Weather Outbreak 02/16-02/17
Powerball replied to Tallis Rockwell's topic in Central/Western States
Like most severe weather events as of late, this will definitely be a good setup for MS/AL. For TX and OK, it's looking like nothing special. -
18z RGEM came in even drier.
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Definitely a run for Detroit on the 18z NAM. I'd give it a 2% chance of verifying though.
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NW trends aren't really a thing any more. Now it's eveey storm trends SE or to a strung out POS the closer to onset.
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It is wetter and a hair further NW. EDIT: Wetter for the eastern areas, that is.
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Severe Weather Outbreak 02/16-02/17
Powerball replied to Tallis Rockwell's topic in Central/Western States
That title is a huge overreaction. BTW, I'm getting ****ing sick of these nighttime setups. That's all we've had in DFW since I've been here. -
'MURICA!!!
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The upper levels with this systems are definitely more supportive of a further NW/stronger storm than GHD III.
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As someone who has suffered through 10 houra of nonstop Sleet and got roughly that exact amount in accumulation, no you don't. I mean, it's better than freezing rain, but only by the slimmest margin.
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The NAM.
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Oh shit!
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Persistent trends die hard.
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Putting the weenie in weenie run...
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Probably since GHD 1, LMAO!!!
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2.5" of combined snow/sleet. Actually were within the bullseye in the Metroplex. There was still plenty of patches left today.
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Hilarious. But I had called it (just not to that extent, haha!).
