Powerball

^^^Premature.

I mean...weren't you going to do the same thing (drive for isolated supercell-type stuff) in Northern Indiana? ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Bingo!

In the past few weeks, I have started dining in at restaurants and going to the movies again (hadn't been since the start of the pandemic last year) without a mask on. Even went to the casino a couple times and got a haircut. That said, I do still wear masks if I'm shopping inside of a store or at the drive thru window.

Today's high at DFW was 95*F, despite the stratocumulus deck all morning. After the "cold" start to the month of June, we actually rebounded to a positive temp departure before yesterday (now's it's back down to -0.1*F).

For a relatively quiet severe weather season, it has been really bad luck with the relatively few strong tornadoes we have seen going through highly populated areas, and during the nighttime at that. First, it was the EF3 tornado that tracked through the southern suburbs of Birminggam (Shelby County), then the EF4 tornado that tracked through the southern suburbs of Atlanta (Newnan) and now this other tornado that hit the western suburbs of Chicago (Naperville).

I tend to think including Southern Michigan in the Severe Thunderstorm Watch is a little too ambitious given the front and instability/moisture gradient still sits along the MI/IN/OH border. But I could be wrong. We'll see.

Yeah, I've had my tire blow out on the highway too. "Some kind of entertainment" is definitely a way to describe it, lol. I'm glad you're ok.

Since when did the highlighted area become "around Chicago?"

Mesoscale Discussion 1036 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0325 PM CDT Sun Jun 20 2021 Areas affected...Portions of eastern Illinois and northern Indiana Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 202025Z - 202230Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...There is an increasing severe weather threat late this afternoon and into the evening from east-central Illinois into northern Indiana. DISCUSSION...An MCV has traversed northern Missouri and western Illinois through the morning and early afternoon today. The convection has been mostly weak, likely due to the stable, capped downstream airmass from the overnight MCS in the region. In fact, almost all lightning has now ended within this cluster. However, a remnant MCV can still be seen in radar imagery from the KILX WSR-88D. The 19Z RAOB from KILX shows the stable airmass with MLCIN near -200 J/kg. However, the hodograph does show decent clockwise curvature within the lowest 3 km and moderate mid-level flow. This is likely a good proximity hodograph for later storms which are expected to form near this MCV later this afternoon/early evening. Despite the lackluster storm development thus far, this is expected to change in the next 1 to 2 hours as this MCV moves into east central Illinois where the airmass was not worked over by overnight convection. In this region dewpoints are in the low 70s with temperatures in the mid 80s with the SPC mesoanalysis suggesting 2000 J/kg MLCAPE. This instability, combined with 45 to 50 knots of effective shear per 19Z ILX RAOB and SPC mesoanalysis should be sufficient for supercell development. Any supercells which develop may have a risk of all hazards including a couple of tornadoes. The tornado threat will likely be greatest in a narrow corridor where winds are backed to southerly near the MCV and near the warm front where low-level vorticity should be enhanced. ..Bentley/Hart.. 06/20/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...LOT...ILX... LAT...LON 39828860 40048872 40738869 41348849 41618788 41638701 41768622 41718552 41488527 40798527 40108660 40048723 39728838 39828860

Maybe a sign for you this event isn't worth storm chasing.

Just FYI, when the SPC outlines an area in red, 95% of the time it indicates a Tornado Watch is forthcoming.

Did you all think it would come easy? That doesn't happen this year, lol.

Welp, so much for that.

***knocking on wood*** Radar trends aren't looking too bad for you right now.

That's about sums up the 2021 severe weather "season" everywhere not named MS or AL.

Verbatim, the 12s GFS would be a nice ROF setup for our region.

Today's high at DFW was 99*F.

Today's high at DFW was 98*F. Yesterday's high was 97*F.

Absolutely.

You can say the same thing about places up north and heaters (which didn't become mainstream until the mid 1800s). Would all of the folks who migrated from down south and turned those cities to turn into 20th century boomtowns had moved there if central heating didn't exist?

It's all a matter of perspective. They think the same thing when you guys are dealing with temps below zero in the winter.'

Today's high at DFW was 99*F. BTW, the low of 81*F this morning was a record, breaking the previous record of 80*F set in 2008.

Cell's trying to blow up now over Irving.