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Everything posted by Powerball
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Probably typical long range HRRR being overamped type of deal.
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What a weirdo system. If it keeps trending SW, even we might get snow from it.
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@beavis1729
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They became extinct for everywhere not named Boston or Minneapolis after GHD 1.
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A winter to remember for the Music City!
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That would be Ken and Mayim now.
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December 15th-16th Warmth, Wind, and Severe Threat
Powerball replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
And of course, it had to be a Broyles outlook. Peak Clown Shit there... -
Southern Plains Winter 2021-2022
Powerball replied to Iceresistance's topic in Central/Western States
We'll see what happens the rest of this winter / early Spring, but it's certainly something you don't want to see headed into the warm season, because of the positive feedback loop with temperatures. -
Southern Plains Winter 2021-2022
Powerball replied to Iceresistance's topic in Central/Western States
Much of the region is currently under severe to extreme drought conditions, with no relief in sight: -
2 7" at DTW and spotter reports of 4.2" and 4.7" in Roseville and New Baltimore (as of 7am).
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I haven't noticed any premature blooming here, but a poster in the Central/Western subforum (who lives in a suburb of Austin) noted that their trees were leafing out again and their tomato plants were still growing.
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The vast majority of trees are bare by the time Christmas arrives, but some of them never lose their leaves & remain green all year. Even back during the February freeze last year, they kept their leaves. In-N-Out even managed to get away with planting Palm Trees outside their restaurants here (an ode of course to their Southern California roots) until they were all killed last winter. They've since been replaced though.
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So needless to say, 2021 was the warmest December on record for DFW. But just to show how unprecedented it was: *1st December ever to end with a monthly average greater than 60°F (61.3°F to be exact). *Previous record for warmest December was shattered by a whopping +7.3 degrees. *1st December ever to end with a positive double-digit departure from average (+13.2 degrees to be exact). *1st December ever to end with an average high greater than 70°F (72.6°F to be exact). *The previous record for highest December average high was shattered by a whopping +6.7 degrees. *1st December ever to end with an average low of at least 50°F (50°F to beexact). *Previous record for highest December average low was shattered by a whopping +6.6 degrees. *Grand total of only 1 freeze (with a low of only 32°F to be exact) *Grand total of only 1 day with a sub-50°F high (48°F to be exact). *Total of 23 days (yes, you read that correctly) with a high of 70°F+ *Total of 8 days with a high of 80°F+ *Warmest Christmas day on record, with a high of 82°F (breaking the previous record of 80°F from 2016). *Ended with a 9-day consecutive streak of 70°F+ highs. This was all driven by a number of combined factors, including widespread moderate/severe drought conditions across the Southern Plains, an unusually deep -PNA (deepest in at least 16 years), and the MJO which only slowly progressed through two phases (6 & 7) that were favorable for warmer than normal tempertures in Texas.
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Southern Plains Winter 2021-2022
Powerball replied to Iceresistance's topic in Central/Western States
So needless to say, 2021 was the warmest December on record for DFW. But just to show how unprecedented it was: *1st December ever to end with a monthly average greater than 60°F (61.3°F to be exact). *Previous record for warmest December was shattered by a whopping +7.3 degrees. *1st December ever to end with a positive double-digit departure from average (+13.2 degrees to be exact). *1st December ever to end with an average high greater than 70°F (72.6°F to be exact). *The previous record for highest December average high was shattered by a whopping +6.7 degrees. *1st December ever to end with an average low of at least 50°F (50°F to be exact). *Previous record for highest December average low was shattered by a whopping +6.6 degrees. *Grandrand total of only 1 freeze (with a low of only 32°F to be exact) *Grand total of only 1 day with a sub-50°F high (48°F to be exact). *Total of 23 days (yes, you read that correctly) with a high of 70°F+ *Total of 8 days with a high of 80°F+ *Warmest Christmas day on record, with a high of 82°F (breaking the previous record of 80°F from 2016). *Ended with a 9-day consecutive streak of 70°F+ highs. This was all driven by a number of combined factors, including widespread moderate/severe drought conditions across the Southern Plains, an unusually deep -PNA (deepest in at least 16 years), and the MJO which only slowly progressed through two phases (6 & 7) that were favorable for warmer than normal tempertures in Texas. -
The whole discussion about the moisture source for this system is like obsessing over which processor KFC used for the chicken you're being served. Regardless of whether it came from Tyson or Perdue, the meal will still be pretty mediocre.
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I'll share the final numbers for DFW tomorrow, because we're going to be nailbiting the truly extreme numbers for the month today, but regardless they're definitely an entireshow. Inferno would be an understatememt.
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It would be very on-brand for Detroit to see its amounts increase as this trends to yet another strung out POS. Ho-hum...
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fyp.
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Southern Plains Winter 2021-2022
Powerball replied to Iceresistance's topic in Central/Western States
The low this morning at DFW was 52*F, which (if it holds) will be *JUST* good enough for exactly a 50*F average low for the month of December. Currently, after yesterday's cool morning of 48*F, the average is officially at 49.9*F -
I remember you being the local celebrity at the time, lol.
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Southern Plains Winter 2021-2022
Powerball replied to Iceresistance's topic in Central/Western States
As of today, DFW has an average low of 50*F for the month of December.Unfortunately, this morning's low dipped down to 49*F. So the average will also dip back down ever so slightly. NYE's low will ultimately determine whether the average low ends up at/above 50*F or below. -
Southern Plains Winter 2021-2022
Powerball replied to Iceresistance's topic in Central/Western States
The final monthly Decembers numbers for DFW are going to be some real clown shit, with nothing remotely comparable. Not even Satan himself could have conjured up this one -
Looks like ORD's futility streak has finally come to an end.
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Texas/Oklahoma Discussion & Obs Thread 2021
Powerball replied to It's Always Sunny's topic in Central/Western States
That is definitely crazy. Haven't noticed any trees sprouting leaves here, yet. -
Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
Powerball replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Decade-long trends die hard...