SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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Well we know which ones will verify What's with the weenies... obviously I meant the snowstorms will verify. Geez tough crowd
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I'm not taking it seriously I just think it's funny. It can't even generate a phantom snowstorm 10+ days out.
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GFS is a toaster bath. Cutter after cutter for the rest of January
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Desperate times
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I have a bad feeling it'll be another crappy spring. Worst case is if we see a SSW event in late Feb or early March.
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West ticks seem probable given strong SE Canada ridging If the trough axis wasn't so far east this probably would've been a good storm for most
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You pretty much need that here for any condition, not just Ninas. Btw this year has behaved more like a strong Nino than a Nina. You don't typically see days of flooding rains in southern California during a Nina.
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Anytime models hint at SE ridging it's a major concern. It just has to verify stronger than forecast, very easy to do, and welcome to cutter land. Occasionally you can get multiple cutters that force the boundary east and then eventually the last shortwave in the series can be a coastal that brings snow.
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Another 23 days should be easy to do. Nothing on the horizon for the next 2 weeks
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GEFS with a big step backwards. Strong WAR in place aka cutters galore. GEPS is more promising. Either way there's not much to look forward to for a long time, prob late Jan at the earliest.
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Watch it be a repeat of December with a big wound up cutter in the Midwest and another Arctic blast. Don't underestimate the ridging east of New England. Very warm sea anomalies in that region
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It depends if there's a light at the end. There's a flicker right now. So far there's been zero measurable snow in my area, north-central NJ or NYC. Even the worst winters had something by now. Looking at ensembles there's not much hope until the last week of Jan.
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There's nothing on the horizon though. Pretty much nil til late Jan
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I'll believe it when I see it. I'd be happy if we just torched the rest of the way instead of following false threats and promises.
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GEFS has a WAR throughout the entire run. EPS looks pretty cooked as well though better than GEFS
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Remember when things were supposed to turn around after the 10th Can kicked yet again Boy who cried wolf syndrome in full effect
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Just go mild and 9 out of 10 times you won't lose
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Don't they average like 150-200" though.
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Can we see the warmest January on record?
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You know it's bad when you have to go to 2 week ensembles and they still aren't that good
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Places south did really well in 72/73 too
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Looking at the 10-14 forecast and it's mid-late March weather in mid January. Wild to look at. We'll prob need another mega warm push (60-70F) to get record warmest January but it's definitely in the cards.
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The warm winter has helped Europe a lot with their demand problems and it'll help us too this month. Once you accept that it'll be a mild/snow-free winter it becomes kinda nice. Lots of positives. Only wish there was less rain
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There's no cold anywhere on the Euro. It's like a strong Nino, very bizarre. It would be horrible even for ski regions which are suffering big time
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Big rainstorm. 50/50 gets out of the way and east of NE ridging becomes too strong again. Same ole crap It actually cuts off too so that would be a flooding rainstorm and coastal nightmare. Jesus christ that's like 6"+ of rain and widespread hurricane gusts well inland
