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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    20 is likely too soon but definitely in 40.
  2. SnoSki14
    Probably the same for most coastal states especially Florida
  3. SnoSki14
    That's good. If it's not gonna snow then give me mild weather. The cold/dry was a waste
  4. SnoSki14
    Definitely smells like a ratter given historic context but we've also had a -4 AO and no snowfall this month, which hasn't happened before. Not sure precedent applies as much anymore
  5. SnoSki14
    That's if it's a favorable SSW. Not all SSWs bring cold/snow.
  6. SnoSki14
    Rare mid teens high for December Current forecast for New Year's is in the mid 60s.
  7. SnoSki14
    I would trade the very cold for snow with 25-30F any day.
  8. SnoSki14
    Wow maybe they'll break it after all
  9. SnoSki14
    Maybe it could tie it but more likely it'll be 2nd
  10. SnoSki14
    Down to 11F with a WC of -8 Coldest its felt in a long time here and a 46 degree drop from the 57F high.
  11. SnoSki14
    Has NYC ever had a 45 degree range
  12. SnoSki14
    17F and gives me a 40F drop. Slight chance of a 50F drop within 24hrs if it can get down to 7F tonight
  13. SnoSki14
    Down to 19 or nearing a 40F drop on the day
  14. SnoSki14
    Getting some good gusts now with CAA. Plenty of 35-40+ readings Down to 27F, a nice 30 degree drop from early this morning.
  15. SnoSki14
    Easy explanation to crappy pattern. It's not enough anymore that NAO/AO is very negative. We need a strong PNA due to warmer SSTs causing stronger ridging east of New England and more south based blocks. This is more true for 1st half of winter. This is why Decembers have sucked over the last 10-12 years and why Jan-March have seen better patterns.
  16. SnoSki14
    That was the forecast. What else did you expect. The bigger story was the cold temps and major temperature drops & wind chills due to strong winds
  17. SnoSki14
    NAO block was too far south, which allowed it to link with SE ridge at times and there wasn't much of a PNA to counteract it. That's why this month sucked. Simple explanation A good PNA ridge is becoming a most for winter particularly in December
  18. SnoSki14
    Down to 30F. Very gusty
  19. SnoSki14
    Sun's out now. Down to freezing. Gusty
  20. SnoSki14
    Snow now coming in near Somerset
  21. SnoSki14
    Temperatures dropping here in Somerset. Down to 39
  22. SnoSki14
    Probably one of the highlights of the system. The flash freeze could work out Lots of ponding too
  23. SnoSki14
    Looks like a nice squall line to our west
  24. SnoSki14
    It's not done yet and just because you didn't experience anything major doesn't mean it's not significant. A lot of places are seeing major coastal flooding right now. A lot of places have already had 50+ gusts. The temperature drop will be very significant. From mid to upper 50s to single digits with wind-chills in the -10 to -15 range.
  25. SnoSki14
    Just bad timing with the new moon and peak surge. Some spots worse than Irene
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