SnoSki14

The dry weather could actually aid in us getting 100s in July/August if a pattern develops that can funnel that kind of heat. Also 90s delayed not denied for early next week instead of this weekend?

Huh? Guidance shows large +PNA and troughiness in the east late June into July. There's no evidence of any prolonged hot spell.

A lot of that will get knocked down in the days ahead. We'll see what happens post easterly flow.

Another near 90F day today. Probably the warmest day for a while though Tue/Wed could be pretty warm.

Close call for first 90s here today. Places like Newark & NYC probably won't get there. Think it'll be a while before NYC gets their 1st 90F given the pattern.

I was gonna say it seems a few spots hit 90-91F down south.

It looks pretty expansive, I don't think it'll miss us.

Very warm weather will be hard to sustain as ridge wants to park itself in the Midwest and then fold under SNE. You may get a 1-2 day heat spurt but that's about it.

At first glance there'll be tendency for ridging to focus north & west of us with lower heights around our region. The GFS is trying to form a broad ridge over the US but it's likely overdoing it. Thinking June ends up a tad BN due to more onshore flow days helped by very cool SSTs offshore & the early June cool airmass.

That Cranky guy is a total idiot. We had squalls down to central NJ today.

The 6-10 & 8-14 day forecasts don't look too pretty either. So much for a big recovery. RIP to climate change deniers.

Yeah 2012 looked pretty normal too at this point.

These are temporary sea ice gains. The ice will collapse just as quickly once the vortex collapses in late winter.

My belief is that in due time everyone will transition over simply from market forces alone. Not sure when we'll get to net zero emissions but there's always a new breakthrough on the horizon nuclear fusion being the holy grail of them all. That doesn't mean the transition period won't be rough though. I think a lot of lives will be lost and trillions of dollars from weather related disasters will be commonplace for a few decades before everything stabilizes. I don't think it'll be the end of the world as some proclaim.

That's a point a lot of people either ignore or worse. I believe the US/Europe contribute 15% of all emissions & are gradually declining while China/India/Russia do the rest and they're rising. Even if the US/Europe were to go net zero we'd still have a global problem. Unless those countries change, nothing will change.

Joe B. continues to be a complete joke. I remember him going on and on how there would be a big global cooling event for the 2010s and 20s. Every year he forecasts a big east coast winter and Northeast hurricanes. Occasionally he ends up right but so does a dead clock.

And the Earth is flat too.

That statement is idiotic. And literally every scientist on the planet agrees that we are the cause but do enlighten us. And Don please don't even waste your time.

Wrong again or should we remove the past couple days from the data set too.

Southern spots possibly though models have been trending weaker with any heat potential. Only see low 80s in my forecast.

And today was the last of the 90s until next year.

Wrong again

2012 was essentially an anomalous year due to the great Arctic cyclone. This year maintained the status quo but it'll be more interesting to see what happens next year. The last few years had horrible ice recoveries vs the early 2010s and this year should be no different. A very poor recovery could lead to a new record next year.

The good news is that the ice hasn't been able to beat the last record low from 7 years ago. Which could mean an ice free summer Arctic probably won't happen until the end of the 21st century.

I stopped giving a rats ass about those people, they're as repugnant as anti-vaxxers or flat-earthers though having said trolls lead gov't is quite terrifying. Still even the most scientifically scholared gov'ts don't mind turning their back on what they know to be true. So at this point it's a big waiting game. Will we innovate ourselves out of GW or will GW shut us down permanently.