SnoSki14

I don't think we'll see the elusive 100F. Models have consistently backed off the extreme heat for our area and all the recent rains make it less likely as well.

If it meets the definition of a storm then it gets a name it's that simple. Agree about the winter storm naming nonsense though.

Bring it, enough boring weather it's time for some extremes.

Precip looks to pivot N&W west even if it stays east. We'd likely get some tropical enhancement due to its close proximity. Also if it stays broad and/or subtropical which is more likely then the location of the CoC won't matter much in terms of impact.

Thinking Friday is much more active than expected. TS Fay is looking more and more likely.

Next week looks really hot. If we avoid onshore flow and clouds we could see mid to upper 90s for several days. The recent dry weather would even argue for higher temps.

If it meets the criteria then it should get a name. Dolly definitely met the criteria for a TS.

That Cranky guy is a total idiot. We had squalls down to central NJ today.

The 6-10 & 8-14 day forecasts don't look too pretty either. So much for a big recovery. RIP to climate change deniers.

Yeah 2012 looked pretty normal too at this point.

These are temporary sea ice gains. The ice will collapse just as quickly once the vortex collapses in late winter.

My belief is that in due time everyone will transition over simply from market forces alone. Not sure when we'll get to net zero emissions but there's always a new breakthrough on the horizon nuclear fusion being the holy grail of them all. That doesn't mean the transition period won't be rough though. I think a lot of lives will be lost and trillions of dollars from weather related disasters will be commonplace for a few decades before everything stabilizes. I don't think it'll be the end of the world as some proclaim.

That's a point a lot of people either ignore or worse. I believe the US/Europe contribute 15% of all emissions & are gradually declining while China/India/Russia do the rest and they're rising. Even if the US/Europe were to go net zero we'd still have a global problem. Unless those countries change, nothing will change.

Joe B. continues to be a complete joke. I remember him going on and on how there would be a big global cooling event for the 2010s and 20s. Every year he forecasts a big east coast winter and Northeast hurricanes. Occasionally he ends up right but so does a dead clock.

And the Earth is flat too.

That statement is idiotic. And literally every scientist on the planet agrees that we are the cause but do enlighten us. And Don please don't even waste your time.

Wrong again or should we remove the past couple days from the data set too.

Southern spots possibly though models have been trending weaker with any heat potential. Only see low 80s in my forecast.

And today was the last of the 90s until next year.

Wrong again

2012 was essentially an anomalous year due to the great Arctic cyclone. This year maintained the status quo but it'll be more interesting to see what happens next year. The last few years had horrible ice recoveries vs the early 2010s and this year should be no different. A very poor recovery could lead to a new record next year.

The good news is that the ice hasn't been able to beat the last record low from 7 years ago. Which could mean an ice free summer Arctic probably won't happen until the end of the 21st century.

I stopped giving a rats ass about those people, they're as repugnant as anti-vaxxers or flat-earthers though having said trolls lead gov't is quite terrifying. Still even the most scientifically scholared gov'ts don't mind turning their back on what they know to be true. So at this point it's a big waiting game. Will we innovate ourselves out of GW or will GW shut us down permanently.

I didn't think the blocking would go away. This pattern's stuck for the long haul with some shifting every now & then.

I don't know, it seems the closer we get the more blocking starts to show up. The current warming, ice melt could even help enhance blocking.