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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    We're going to roast this winter again.
  2. SnoSki14
    Should be interesting to watch nonetheless. Strong WAR could mean this ends up close to the coast but many days out of course.
  3. SnoSki14
    We're really feeling the AGW effects now. It seems as though 2015/2016 was a tipping point with the mega Nino. I think every winter from this point on will be warm/wet or warm/dry. Snow will be unlikely but not impossible as years like 2016/2017 could still happen. However this year will likely be another 2011/2012 style winter.
  4. SnoSki14
    GFS has consistently been showing a Caribbean hurricane that eventually goes up the east coast. Strong WAR pattern would support such a track.
  5. SnoSki14
    I think something like 2016-2017 is possible.
  6. SnoSki14
    So there's some hope winter won't be dead this year?
  7. SnoSki14
    Is it odd that I feel better about the coming winter when all the forecasts show a snowless torch winter. It's like playing with house money.
  8. SnoSki14
    To its credit it did spot the phase and curl NW into Canada that models are now catching onto. Hopefully it plays out that way as it will likely generate massive swells just offshore.
  9. SnoSki14
    The GFS was trending synoptically towards the Euro.
  10. SnoSki14
    Most likely a disappointment though hopefully it'll come close enough for some big swells.
  11. SnoSki14
    Euro seems pretty convinced of that cutoff and blocking high. There's also a clear SW trend with the cutoff. I don't think Teddy will get that far west because of how far east it is to begin with but it's an intriguing setup nonetheless.
  12. SnoSki14
    Something could develop off the SE coast next week under the large high in the northeast. Models hinting that could become a coastal storm or subtropical storm as it moves north.
  13. SnoSki14
    It's like talking to a brick wall. You could present 1000s of examples and they'll make an excuse for all of them. Don't waste your breath.
  14. SnoSki14
    This sucker is poised to be a major (3rd after Paulette) and I have zero doubt it'll impact the US eventually but all those island interactions will complicate things.
  15. SnoSki14
    That would be the one to watch. The other one near Bermuda should be a nice wave maker if it gets to major status. PNA expected to tank which means strong ridging building out east.
  16. SnoSki14
    I see this year as a late bloomer. Late September through October could be very active with a rather late onset of Nina conditions.
  17. SnoSki14
    Also if we are back to the 30s-50s does that mean the Arctic was as warm and sea ice as low back then as it is now?
  18. SnoSki14
    Oh man get ready for another torch then. We saw how those past "favorable" analogs worked out. I think I'd feel better if every forecast called for a torchy, snowless winter right now.
  19. SnoSki14
    Models are all over the place but the Euro likely has the best handle on things. We'll see if there's any consistency today, of course anything beyond a few days is a total crapshoot.
  20. SnoSki14
    Humans developed nuclear weapons that could literally destroy the atmosphere. We're responsible for mass ecological extinctions. You have to be a complete fool to think humans can't overpower natural forces but please stay ignorant.
  21. SnoSki14
    I'd be shocked if 99L isn't a storm by tomorrow. This is a well developed wave near peak under favorable conditions. Keep an eye out this could sneak up on models.
  22. SnoSki14
    There appears to be a high likelihood of a storm targeting the east coast in about 10-14 days. Too early to say if the steering pattern would allow for impacts but the trend this summer has been for increased ridging especially over NE Canada and we've already had 2 systems impact the northeast.
  23. SnoSki14
    Storms have had trouble developing until they get closer, very 2005 esque in that regard. Steering pattern will be very favorable for US impacts going into September. I expect models to show more development soon.
  24. SnoSki14
    We're already seeing a burst of activity and this is in the lull period. Looks like it'll get even uglier than I thought and that steering is brutal for the US.
  25. SnoSki14
    Steering pattern favorable for US landfalls, particularly ominous for gulf coast states.
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