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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    The ice has gotten battered due to a very unfavorable May/June, and the pattern is only projected to get worse as renewed blocking develops. I expect a cliff dive in sea ice next couple weeks.
  2. SnoSki14
    What's with all the dry outlooks, I haven't seen anything thus far that would lead to that outcome.
  3. SnoSki14
    I think a near Cat 5 at the FL panhandle will win the prize this year.
  4. SnoSki14
    Huge heat/ridge signal showing up for early October so you're not wrong.
  5. SnoSki14
    I think that's it for 90s, Flo's influence will mitigate the ridge effects and things turn cooler after she exits. Even if ridging returns afterwards, 90s become very unlikely after September 20.
  6. SnoSki14
    Makes sense with the heat dome in the middle/inter-mountain west section of the US. Mid-Atlantic may once again get the brunt of it.
  7. SnoSki14
    He'll score big at times but he's also incredibly biased. He will often offer the cold & snow option for the east coast even in years that don't warrant it because he knows that'll get people to buy into his stuff. He does the same during hurricane season.
  8. SnoSki14
    PD II is one unique way to get a big storm in this coming pattern. There's definitely support building from the 27-30th for a big overrunning storm. +NAO/-PNA but with a strongly -EPO/WPO. Could be interesting.
  9. SnoSki14
    The CFS is a complete joke and should be disbanded immediately, it bit the bullet on November and the model, not the weather will burn in flames next month.
  10. SnoSki14
    Nice storm signal next Saturday, strong east based block forces low to form further SE and rapidly intensify. The weather pattern has been so boring that even a coastal rainstorm would be nice.
  11. SnoSki14
    It's a very mild, Pacific dominated pattern as far as I can see. Blocking completely disappears. I see 60s to start December.
  12. SnoSki14
    Yes, 60s possible.
  13. SnoSki14
    I agree it's sad and terrifying how easily people fall for anything whether it be a fake news article or a weather forecast. There's so much misinformation out there and nobody cares to check the sources.
  14. SnoSki14
    That looks very Nina to me, classic N-S gradient.
  15. SnoSki14
    This probably would be a top 5 start to winter if the Nina was weaker or cold neutral. Getting a decent Pacific is going to be a struggle this winter.
  16. SnoSki14
    Well then I better be roasting next month with tshirts and shorts for Xmas. Anything less than 70 during the holidays is a bust. I'm still waiting for my record November torch that the models showed, I was all-in with the Novie roast bc I trusted them.
  17. SnoSki14
    That shortwave looks interesting on the 12z gfs for T-Day especially if the pattern amplifies in that way with strong western ridging. If the -NAO is that strong and the +PNA is correct then that wave should dig much further south.
  18. SnoSki14
    That great lakes storm late next week could be a big driver in our upcoming blocking pattern for Turkey week.
  19. SnoSki14
    Outside of this outlier arctic cold shot, temps look near normal to at times AN (late next week).
  20. SnoSki14
    Models backing off big time on the -NAO and huge blocking pattern. Gfs LR even has a massive ridge on east coast, thoughts?
  21. SnoSki14
    Well now they're showing more of a +PNA, which gives me more confidence on a sustained BN period. It's far less risky than an Omega Block.
  22. SnoSki14
    Well to be fair I'm just looking to see if there are snow opportunities, so yeah it doesn't have to stay BN as long as a pattern develops down the line that could give us our first snowfall. I've heard a lot of discussion around Thanksgiving time for snow but that's way out there obviously.
  23. SnoSki14
    I don't see how we're going to see sustained BN temps with such a deep trough on the west coast despite the development of high latitude blocking.
  24. SnoSki14
    Those decadal averages really show just how much of a snow haven we've been in since 2000. Those 80s must have been putrid.
  25. SnoSki14
    It's never ending because it has become the norm so people think that's how it's supposed to be. People don't really notice how extreme it is unless it's centered around winter or summer. People definitely noticed Dec 2015 and they'll definitely notice the next record warm July-August.
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