Stats show that years without double digits 90s in August generally get between 0-3 90 days in September, most in the 1st half.
If anything it seems like July was downplayed and August was overestimated.
I think a few close TS will take a big bite out of those SSTs.
1st week of September could be near or slightly BN and 90s are tough to hit after September 10.
2012 was essentially an anomalous year due to the great Arctic cyclone.
This year maintained the status quo but it'll be more interesting to see what happens next year.
The last few years had horrible ice recoveries vs the early 2010s and this year should be no different. A very poor recovery could lead to a new record next year.
I think a 3-5 day heatwave looks likely starting Sunday. HI will likely approach near advisory levels.
We certainly won't come close to July's heat but as with most years as of late we'll probably see 90s into September too.
I do think all that warm water around Greenland will allow for more blocking than we've seen.
Looks like a +PDO as well. Pacific firehouse could still be a problem though strong blocking periods could offset that somewhat.
Really nice period coming up, very comfortable.
Mid August through Oct 1st has some of the nicest weather of the year. September's an awesome beach month if you have the time.
Lately inactive hurricane seasons were big snow producers for the Northeast/Mid-Atlantic (2009, 2013, 2014) and big hurricane seasons like 2011/2012/2018 were the opposite.
Is there any correlation or just random coincidences.