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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. It'll finally be bearable to spend the weekend outside. First sign that autumn draws closer.
  2. I knew that bow was powerful when its outflow produced pretty Gusty winds despite being well to my north back in NJ. Tornado perhaps?
  3. A coastal runner wouldn't surprise me, it depends on how much troughiness we see out west. Waters are also quite warm too.
  4. Stats show that years without double digits 90s in August generally get between 0-3 90 days in September, most in the 1st half. If anything it seems like July was downplayed and August was overestimated.
  5. I think a few close TS will take a big bite out of those SSTs. 1st week of September could be near or slightly BN and 90s are tough to hit after September 10.
  6. Wave? More like Bob redux. I see early signs of a big trough in the Midwest and NE Canada ridging.
  7. 2012 was essentially an anomalous year due to the great Arctic cyclone. This year maintained the status quo but it'll be more interesting to see what happens next year. The last few years had horrible ice recoveries vs the early 2010s and this year should be no different. A very poor recovery could lead to a new record next year.
  8. A Bob like scenario wouldn't be surprising as tropical development shifts further north over time.
  9. Well last year was supposed to be a huge winter so I'll take any LR forecast with a grain of salt.
  10. Should be stunning for next weekend. -NAO keeps reloading too so another cooler blast near labor day weekend is possible.
  11. I think a 3-5 day heatwave looks likely starting Sunday. HI will likely approach near advisory levels. We certainly won't come close to July's heat but as with most years as of late we'll probably see 90s into September too.
  12. They're coming, 2nd half of August looks very hot.
  13. I do think all that warm water around Greenland will allow for more blocking than we've seen. Looks like a +PDO as well. Pacific firehouse could still be a problem though strong blocking periods could offset that somewhat.
  14. Today was a pretty big bust actually pending what happens later. Thought we'd be too far north but not this much.
  15. Looks like great beach weather without the torridness and peak sun of July. Some low 90s likely.
  16. I think we'll be too far north for this. Southern PA/S NJ could do very well again.
  17. Really nice period coming up, very comfortable. Mid August through Oct 1st has some of the nicest weather of the year. September's an awesome beach month if you have the time.
  18. Things will pop like they always do come peak time. We've seen it go from dead to active instantly, the switch will come on again.
  19. Lately inactive hurricane seasons were big snow producers for the Northeast/Mid-Atlantic (2009, 2013, 2014) and big hurricane seasons like 2011/2012/2018 were the opposite. Is there any correlation or just random coincidences.
  20. Well over 2" near Old Bridge so far, looking likely that we end the summer AN precip wise.
  21. Wow that was some of the heaviest rain I've seen. One of the best severe weather seasons in years.
  22. Does a dead Atlantic mean an active winter? 2009 & 2013/2014 comes to mind.
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