Jump to content

SnoSki14

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    15,184

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Models showing the same garbage we've seen all season. No surprise there
  2. SnoSki14
    All it takes is for the 50/50 to be weaker than shown and it's a bust so I'm treading carefully. The thing is in this climate we can have record warm months and still somehow get a storm or two that gives us all our seasonal snows. Not saying that's likely but it also wouldn't shock me.
  3. SnoSki14
    Sometimes that's true. There was a 2010s March where everything was suppressed due to confluence. However for this one I think it's more likely to trend north over time. Gonna try hard not to jump off a cliff when it's 40F and rain down here while SNE gets a major snowstorm.
  4. SnoSki14
    Bias? The GFS was well north 2-3 cycles ago against the CMC & Euro. I still think this is mostly SNE storm but you're not being objective Additionally the strengthening confluence is real. Will it be enough down here? I lean no but the trend is legit.
  5. SnoSki14
    It's nice to see continued improvements but it's still very borderline this far south. Given the trends this season I'm not sure it'll be enough. Looks like an excellent late winter pattern for SNE north though.
  6. SnoSki14
    Time to move north
  7. SnoSki14
    I need to see some follow through with tonight's runs. Either they stay consistent or get better. If they get worse then I wouldn't expect much.
  8. SnoSki14
    What a weenie GFS run for SNE
  9. SnoSki14
    We seem to be stuck in no man's land. Probably a lot of days like today over the next month or so.
  10. SnoSki14
    Any reason why the GFS solution is being discounted. Seems equally likely to verify
  11. SnoSki14
    Very surprised the SNE folks are so gungho about next week. If the 50/50 is even slightly weaker or displaced then the threat falls apart. Anyone south of VT/NH/ME should be skeptical
  12. SnoSki14
    How does that logic work? Suppression now equals more suppressed storm down the line?
  13. SnoSki14
    For someone that's been negative all winter I'm shocked you think that's gonna verify.
  14. SnoSki14
    Talk about clown maps
  15. SnoSki14
    You're praying models hold the strong 50/50 a week out. That's not a hill I'd want to go all-in on
  16. SnoSki14
    12z Nam just cut temps by 30 degrees down in NYC/NJ. From low 70s to 40s. That blows
  17. SnoSki14
    12z Nam just completely shut down any possibility of warm air coming in tomorrow.
  18. SnoSki14
    I don't think we'll be able to outdo 11/12 for the D-M period. March 2012 was extremely warm and this March doesn't look to follow that path.
  19. SnoSki14
    Insanely low level snows possible in California. You know it'll be bad for us when LA can't get out of the 40s for highs in late Feb.
  20. SnoSki14
    Really need that to continue otherwise we'll be near normal at best as the coldest air is west. At the very least you can probably eliminate the warm Marches like 2012 & 2020. That block will stick around for a while
  21. SnoSki14
    And we're still barely BN if at all At this rate we're going to see our 2nd tornado before we see an inch of snow down in Jersey Slightly below works further north though especially C/NNE
  22. SnoSki14
    Can't get an inch of snow but an effin tornado just rolled through NJ in February. WTF
  23. SnoSki14
    Only a few more weeks and none of this will matter. The agony is almost over. I think NYC south is done. Even if things improve later in March climo works against them in a big way but SNE will do well as long as the blocking plays out as forecast.
  24. SnoSki14
    Cold usually wins out this time of year but the Nam showing the warmth hints that perhaps it'll get north of us.
  25. SnoSki14
    December and March are completely different. For one you don't need a +PNA in March
×
×
  • Create New...