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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    How many more kicks to the balls do people need before they call it quits. Pack it up and embrace the warmer weather. Maybe we'll get some nice severe days and some tropical remnants over the summer.
  2. SnoSki14
    This is actually nothing like March 2001
  3. SnoSki14
    Me too....in December 2023.
  4. SnoSki14
    So happy this horrible winter is just about over.
  5. SnoSki14
    The anti-JB
  6. SnoSki14
    There are actually people that believe this.
  7. SnoSki14
    Today's the last day for any meaningful changes. Odds are it'll mostly be a rain event for the coastal plain and low elevations but it's a potent system so who knows.
  8. SnoSki14
    This 100%
  9. SnoSki14
    Just sucks we don't have a colder air mass in place.
  10. SnoSki14
    Yeah that's good to see. It's a very frustrating forecast as minor changes make all the difference. It definitely feels like March 2001 in that regard.
  11. SnoSki14
    The northern stream comes in too late. You need it to happen while it's near the NC coast. Two things can fix that. Stronger SE Canada ridging or stronger ridging out west. Euro should be interesting. It was already closer to a hit than other models so it'll be interesting to see if it trends towards the GFS on that regard.
  12. SnoSki14
    Big jump in that direction but it gets going just a little too late for us. We need that northern stream to dive in quicker like the GFS shows
  13. SnoSki14
    Yeah it's really close to something historic
  14. SnoSki14
    GFS is nice even down to NYC. Shades of Feb 2013?
  15. SnoSki14
    It could still be trending as 6z trended better first. A stronger, more tucked solution is feasible and that would lead to something really good.
  16. SnoSki14
    A more amped solution wouldn't surprise me. GFS trending stronger with the SE Canada ridge which has been a staple over the past few years.
  17. SnoSki14
    GFS with an amped move there. Pretty big shift from run to run Our friend the SE Canada ridge is trending stronger which normally causes inland runners however in this instance could help us out.
  18. SnoSki14
    Nam is likely wrong but these tucked in solutions have had merit over the past few years. It wouldn't take much for models to shift to a more tucked in solution.
  19. SnoSki14
    Ridging out west remains the problem. A flatter ridge leads to a late capture a la March 2001. We'll need models to improve by tomorrow otherwise it's a dud for most.
  20. SnoSki14
    Not in mid March.
  21. SnoSki14
    You need this sucker to explode and tuck. Anything less and you won't see much. There's still time for models to trend in that direction. I would give it another 2 days.
  22. SnoSki14
    Well at least we'll know ahead of time Bring on the 60s & 70s
  23. SnoSki14
    I've been over this winter for a long time so whatever happens happens. We're very likely done after this threat minus a fluke storm in latter March or early April. There's reason to believe in a more tucked in, dynamic system. The seasonal trend over the past few years has been just that aided by very warm sst anomalies off the northeast coast.
  24. SnoSki14
    Thank goodness it'll be nice to move past this miserable winter and the dreaded Nina that caused it all.
  25. SnoSki14
    A later capture is more likely than an inland runner. Models being a little east gives us some wiggle room knowing things tend to trend west as we get closer.
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