SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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We seem to be stuck in no man's land. Probably a lot of days like today over the next month or so.
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Any reason why the GFS solution is being discounted. Seems equally likely to verify
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Very surprised the SNE folks are so gungho about next week. If the 50/50 is even slightly weaker or displaced then the threat falls apart. Anyone south of VT/NH/ME should be skeptical
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How does that logic work? Suppression now equals more suppressed storm down the line?
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For someone that's been negative all winter I'm shocked you think that's gonna verify.
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Talk about clown maps
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You're praying models hold the strong 50/50 a week out. That's not a hill I'd want to go all-in on
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12z Nam just cut temps by 30 degrees down in NYC/NJ. From low 70s to 40s. That blows
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12z Nam just completely shut down any possibility of warm air coming in tomorrow.
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I don't think we'll be able to outdo 11/12 for the D-M period. March 2012 was extremely warm and this March doesn't look to follow that path.
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Insanely low level snows possible in California. You know it'll be bad for us when LA can't get out of the 40s for highs in late Feb.
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Really need that to continue otherwise we'll be near normal at best as the coldest air is west. At the very least you can probably eliminate the warm Marches like 2012 & 2020. That block will stick around for a while
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And we're still barely BN if at all At this rate we're going to see our 2nd tornado before we see an inch of snow down in Jersey Slightly below works further north though especially C/NNE
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Can't get an inch of snow but an effin tornado just rolled through NJ in February. WTF
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Only a few more weeks and none of this will matter. The agony is almost over. I think NYC south is done. Even if things improve later in March climo works against them in a big way but SNE will do well as long as the blocking plays out as forecast.
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Cold usually wins out this time of year but the Nam showing the warmth hints that perhaps it'll get north of us.
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December and March are completely different. For one you don't need a +PNA in March
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2nd half of March will deliver in SNE. NAO response + rapidly shortening wavelengths equal snow potential. There's already hints of this in the LR OP runs.
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It is good that the west coast is benefiting from all this, they really needed it. Incredibly drought conditions could be reduced to nil in California when all is said and done which would've been unthinkable a few months ago. The downside is the growing drought in the plains, which is not good given that's our crop growth zone. We need big improvement there
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A couple more ticks north and 70s get into NYC for Thursday. Could be a wild temperature swing
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It's scary how easily we're putting up 60+ temps in February. That's like seeing multiple 90s by mid April.
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Next season
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Where's Brooklyn to tell us how good the GEFS looks
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The only time the RNA won't be as damaging is by 2nd half of March due to wavelengths but by then you're fighting climo big time. Which is why I think it'll just be a chilly March 15 till early/mid April. NAO could stick around for a while so hopes of a warm early spring are very unlikely
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What a fun rollercoaster that would be. 30s on Wednesday to low 70s Thursday and back to the 20s on Friday.
