That's what's happening with the Friday storm and we still lose. Persistence usually works out well.
We got lucky last night like we got lucky in other bad years like 01/02 but overall persistence wins. After looking at the March weeklies I'm going with cold/dry (-2 departure) and under 3" of snow mostly from clipper like systems.
The extent of BN anomalies is impressive however the coldest air remains west.
This would be a good look for DJF when climo is favorable. By mid March averages are pushing 50.
The cold will equal 40s for highs and barely below freezing lows. On sunny days we could still get to 50+
That's a rain event or shredder. It's also a Day 13+ op so it doesn't matter.
March should be good for New England where climo is still favorable. Not much to get excited about elsewhere.
Coldest anomalies are still west.
Not much south of I-78 either. Way too warm.
I think I'll be lucky to see an inch. On the plus side I just matched my light grassy dusting for the season
There's probably a window somewhere there but we've had favorable looks before.
I do think odds are a lot better than December though. -PNA much less of an issue
Each model run is trending more and more amped and big jumps were made by the southernmost models.
MJO phase 7 supports an enhanced WAR which supports a phased, powerful system that confluence can't stop.
Are those negative anomalies even legit or just more can kicking. GFS/CMC look warm for March 1-10
I'm hoping for an early spring so I can move past this miserable winter as soon as possible.
What I would give for a 2012 March