I'm not getting my hopes up. There's at chance at something significant but everything has to go right for that to happen.
Cold looks marginal. You need a powerful coastal system to get snow to the coast.
Yeah March snows blow down here. It's really rare to get them to stick around which is why 2015 was extra special in that regard.
I remember a deep pack 1st week of March, almost unheard of around here.
Disagree. Down here we've had two minor snow events within the last week whereas we had 0 before then.
Temperatures are also averaging near or slightly below normal whereas in Jan/Feb it was +8/5
Yeah you're not going to get a winter savior in mid March. When things are bad they usually stay bad.
Every day that a threat is delayed makes it that much more unlikely to occur. Time is running out.
The SE tracks have some merit due to the confluence up north.
If this really digs then I could see a secondary transfer off the Delmarva with it skirting more ENE.
That's what the GEFS show
It's still a hugger. Need that primary to dig further south. Not a bad look right now though
Additionally the more it digs due to a stronger Rockies ridge the stronger the secondary response will be. That's what we need in March to get big snows.
2" would be my biggest storm of the season. I only got 1.5" with the last one.
Current HRRR has 2-4" over the area. Clear meso banding showing up on some of the models.
Maybe a surprise positive bust for some
You need a dynamic storm + favorable track after March 10.
It also helps if it falls at night if you want stickage but that's mostly for lighter rates.
It is what it is