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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    That was a wild storm. Woke up to a tornado warning too. Thunder was extremely loud
  2. SnoSki14
    Let me save you some time. According to snowman it'll be a strong to super east based Nino like 97/98 that'll cause a snowless, torch winter in the east. And to save you some more time. The following winter will be another horrible Nina with a snowless, torch winter. And so on and so on Dude is extremely predictable Basically never expect to see cold/snow again according to him
  3. SnoSki14
    Tropics will turn on a dime after August 20th as they always do.
  4. SnoSki14
    HRRR does have some activity tonight so maybe some storms will survive
  5. SnoSki14
    Completely disagree. The journey to winter along with everything that comes with it is the best part imo. Sept & Oct are my favorite months
  6. SnoSki14
    GFS wants to give us 100s while Euro keeps heat away
  7. SnoSki14
    There's definitely some real heat potential after mid August on the models. Will it get pushed back, we'll see but so far there's some holding
  8. SnoSki14
    This gives me hope given how wrong you were with last winter's blocking pattern
  9. SnoSki14
    We'll see I suppose. Of course nowadays back broken means closer to normal rather than top 5-10 warm months.
  10. SnoSki14
    I think it'll still happen but it won't be as severe or prolonged as GFS indicated. Heat really loses its punch after August 20th.
  11. SnoSki14
    I noticed the big heat signal keeps getting pushed back. Maybe some stray 90 readings next 10 days but mostly 80s. We had more than double the 90s by this time last year.
  12. SnoSki14
    GFS LR really wants to roast us but other models say hold on. In fact the WAR ends up being weaker with time, usually it's the opposite. So the jury's still out on any prolonged heat.
  13. SnoSki14
    They really do go ape shit when you mention AGW/CC.
  14. SnoSki14
    There's some northerly component to it. Think at least up to north central NJ gets rocked
  15. SnoSki14
    The morning stuff came through early enough to not interfere with what happens later. Still we'll have to see how much we destabilize
  16. SnoSki14
    But there's always a possibility of a massive snowstorm even if it's a torch winter. At least for now
  17. SnoSki14
    Why do you hate winter so much
  18. SnoSki14
    I have to disagree due to the potency of this system. Not very common this time of year
  19. SnoSki14
    It's not. It's definitely going to rain. That's a strong system for this time of year, just not sure who maxes out
  20. SnoSki14
    The seasonal is focusing on the western forcing despite a strong eastern tilted Nino. I'm betting we see a lot of conflicting signals though. It won't be a one size fits all option. I definitely think it looks more promising than last year though.
  21. SnoSki14
    Individuals can't change anything. The polluters are mostly corporations and big oil so no I won't stop what I'm doing. We use ice cores for far reaching data, 150 years is for more specific/localized information but the facts don't lie regardless.
  22. SnoSki14
    Oh it's definitely going to rain. Very unusually potent system for early August coming through.
  23. SnoSki14
    We've warmed and cooled before over the course of millions of years not 150. That's just something that deniers and skeptics either can't comprehend or don't want to for whatever reason. Altering the climate by 2C in 200 years is insane and will have disastrous impacts, which we're already seeing today. This should not be political it's just reality and it'll happen whether you believe it or not. And yeah it'll definitely cool off again once humans have been wiped out by their own idiocy
  24. SnoSki14
    I think we'll either roast or it'll get very dewey & possibly stormy after the 10th. WAR looks likely to build
  25. SnoSki14
    Snowman believes it'll be a super east based Nino aka a torch snowless winter (his favorite) but clearly others have pointed out that this Nino is unprecedented due to multiple conflicting factors. I'm still inclined to believe we actually need the Nino to be very strong in order to override the Pacific warm pool and western forcing otherwise it'll be a Nina style pattern again
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