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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    April was still record warm regardless, which if you believe only had 1 intense week makes it that much more impressive. And sure spring isn't warming as fast but it's still warming. Our "cool" May would've been AN if we used earlier averages. To each their own but I consider spring March-May, summer June- August and so forth.
  2. SnoSki14
    We just had the warmest April on record and March was pretty warm too. I swear everyone has the memory of a goldfish
  3. SnoSki14
    In a couple weeks it'll struggle to dip below 70 at night with high dews so I'll happily take this
  4. SnoSki14
    46 this morning in New Brunswick More 40s tonight too
  5. SnoSki14
    I don't see reservoirs getting too low but aesthetically it's gonna look dry for sure especially if we keep dodging rain chances
  6. SnoSki14
    The dry weather helps greatly. Its also been allowing temps to get quite chilly at night. Not too often we get huge diurnal swings in June
  7. SnoSki14
    Outside of some very warm to hot days (still dry though) today and tomorrow it mainly looks at or below normal with 70s. We should still dip into the 40s at night quite easily.
  8. SnoSki14
    A complete 180 from last winter would not surprise me. In this era we flip from one extreme to the next. Also am noticing cool SST anomalies building off the SE Canada & Atlantic coasts while MDR cooks. That supports the cool backdoor pattern for June expected to develop in the northeast.
  9. SnoSki14
    Noticed there's some pretty cool SST anomalies off of SE Canada and Atlantic costs just north of Gulf stream. So the backdoor fronts have merit
  10. SnoSki14
    One bad weekend out of many is fine and rain is needed. The cutoff placement will be interesting though. GFS much further SW with it
  11. SnoSki14
    The agenda is pretty clear. He's all in on a super east-based Nino and is finding random Twitter threads to back that up. Notice how he doesn't actually counter the posts arguing against it. He even posted JBs pro Super Nino tweets on here when he despises JB & his forecasts. I'm not saying a strong to super east based Nino can't happen but the data Bluewave and other mets on here have posted do not point in that Super Nino direction. In fact right now it's more likely the Nino never fully couples than us getting a full blown Super Nino.
  12. SnoSki14
    Why are you pulling up random twitter threads and who are these people? I'll trust Bluewave's analysis 10x more than whatever these people have to say.
  13. SnoSki14
    That's the status quo nowadays. I imagine a strong ridge would get us to 100+ pretty easily given how dry its been
  14. SnoSki14
    I don't see the ridging push east. We'll probably have to wait until the WAR gets into gear to get into the real dewy heat. Some showers/t-storms due to the cool/hot gradient seem probable
  15. SnoSki14
    Still dropping into the 40s by morning and that could continue for a bit Nice trough on ensembles showing up for June too
  16. SnoSki14
    Eastern trough on ensembles to start June. So any sustained heat/heat waves will have to wait.
  17. SnoSki14
    There's no major heat indicators atm. Maybe near to slightly AN overall but definitely some cooler days mixed in too.
  18. SnoSki14
    GFS & GEFS trending uglier.
  19. SnoSki14
    Trending in the wrong direction though
  20. SnoSki14
    If that low cuts off then it won't be great. Doesn't mean rain & cold everyday but definitely not summer like
  21. SnoSki14
    Not on Euro
  22. SnoSki14
    Another ugly holiday weekend?
  23. SnoSki14
    Early glance at Memorial day weekend doesn't look great. Maybe some subtropical activity?
  24. SnoSki14
    We'll get a good soaking and clearly the drier models were wrong at least in NJ
  25. SnoSki14
    That alone should warrant caution
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