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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Big shifts east on mesos. Have almost zero rainfall over NJ
  2. SnoSki14
    If the Nino forcing can't get going by mid-late summer and given very high Atlantic SSTs, then this hurricane season has the potential to really catch folks off guard.
  3. SnoSki14
    The timing sucks but we really need the rain.
  4. SnoSki14
    Models have cutoffs underneath the ridge which is displaced north.
  5. SnoSki14
    38F this morning. Likely our last 30s until October. We start our summer pattern by Memorial day weekend
  6. SnoSki14
    Horrible if true
  7. SnoSki14
    If GFS is correct we'd have record low rainfall this month heading into summer Thats not good
  8. SnoSki14
    The lack of rain this early isn't great. A lot of smokey skies, dead vegetation, and brush fires if it doesn't change
  9. SnoSki14
    Midsummer sun but weatherwise it couldn't be more different
  10. SnoSki14
    If there's no severe in that pattern then I don't care.
  11. SnoSki14
    That won't last much longer. The dews are coming sooner or later.
  12. SnoSki14
    The bar is extremely low after last winter especially south of 41N Hell a 10" winter would be nearly a 5x improvement for places like NYC. I'll take a strong Nino over the crap we've been dealing with because at least there's a chance at something interesting. It also shakes up the stagnant Nina pattern.
  13. SnoSki14
    That's a very bad sign for fires
  14. SnoSki14
    Snowman calling for a blowtorch winter? Whoa that never happens. Is JB calling for a 09-10 because that never happens either?
  15. SnoSki14
    There's more to it than strong Nino equals no hurricane season especially with the very odd evolution of this Nino. Things are changing in the new CC era. Old rules no longer apply
  16. SnoSki14
    EPS has a stout western north American ridge and troughing closer to us which should trend stronger
  17. SnoSki14
    Any reasoning for the cooler anomalies off the northeast US & SE Canada coasts?
  18. SnoSki14
    Weather looks good after tomorrow. Weekend looks great. I don't see any major heat for now. Temperatures will probably stay close to seasonable levels averaged out. 3rd week of May could be cooler though.
  19. SnoSki14
    Models want to hang onto the omega blocking longer today. Probably closer to seasonal vs torch
  20. SnoSki14
    Could be a back and forth type deal too. Either way it should be a lot warmer. We're getting closer to that solar max after all.
  21. SnoSki14
    It takes a lot for us to see a cool month. We'd need the omega block or any extreme block to last most of the month. We've also seen a big swing where the west is cool & we're very warm since 2015. Parts of CA have seen top 5 record cold months.
  22. SnoSki14
    That's not that unusual. They can get snow well into May
  23. SnoSki14
    Don't doubt a warmup but with elevated heights from lingering block over western Canada, I could see a cooler trend develop as we get closer.
  24. SnoSki14
    Intensifying low coming up the coast so precip will fill in quickly. Subtropical look with bands that'll come from the southeast as low pulls up.
  25. SnoSki14
    HRRR really slams parts of C/N NJ over next few hrs. 2"+ amounts on top of what's already fallen
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