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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. GFS & GEFS trending uglier.
  2. If that low cuts off then it won't be great. Doesn't mean rain & cold everyday but definitely not summer like
  3. Another ugly holiday weekend?
  4. Early glance at Memorial day weekend doesn't look great. Maybe some subtropical activity?
  5. We'll get a good soaking and clearly the drier models were wrong at least in NJ
  6. Big shifts east on mesos. Have almost zero rainfall over NJ
  7. If the Nino forcing can't get going by mid-late summer and given very high Atlantic SSTs, then this hurricane season has the potential to really catch folks off guard.
  8. The timing sucks but we really need the rain.
  9. Models have cutoffs underneath the ridge which is displaced north.
  10. 38F this morning. Likely our last 30s until October. We start our summer pattern by Memorial day weekend
  11. If GFS is correct we'd have record low rainfall this month heading into summer Thats not good
  12. The lack of rain this early isn't great. A lot of smokey skies, dead vegetation, and brush fires if it doesn't change
  13. Midsummer sun but weatherwise it couldn't be more different
  14. If there's no severe in that pattern then I don't care.
  15. That won't last much longer. The dews are coming sooner or later.
  16. The bar is extremely low after last winter especially south of 41N Hell a 10" winter would be nearly a 5x improvement for places like NYC. I'll take a strong Nino over the crap we've been dealing with because at least there's a chance at something interesting. It also shakes up the stagnant Nina pattern.
  17. Snowman calling for a blowtorch winter? Whoa that never happens. Is JB calling for a 09-10 because that never happens either?
  18. There's more to it than strong Nino equals no hurricane season especially with the very odd evolution of this Nino. Things are changing in the new CC era. Old rules no longer apply
  19. EPS has a stout western north American ridge and troughing closer to us which should trend stronger
  20. Any reasoning for the cooler anomalies off the northeast US & SE Canada coasts?
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