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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    The primary is in western PA so it floods the area with warmer air. It's not until the coastal takes over that we change to snow. The norlun feature is our best bet and it has support from Rgem & Nam. Normally norluns happen further N&E but the ESE track of coastal would favor our region. Probably another 1-2" type deal
  2. SnoSki14
    Has a norlun look to it by Saturday morning. That could lead to locally much higher amounts Nam shows this now
  3. SnoSki14
    I didn't even know that much of a pack could exist. Always figured it would compact down to much less.
  4. SnoSki14
    There might be a shot of arctic air with a storm nearby at the tail end of the March 13-20 period. That's probably our last chance at anything if the next 2 waves don't work out
  5. SnoSki14
    The 06z Euro has over an inch of QPF and the system mostly falls overnight. A slightly colder air mass and we would've had a solid 6-10 or better storm.
  6. SnoSki14
    Wave 1 would've been a really nice storm if the air mass was slightly colder Same air mass a month earlier probably would've worked too
  7. SnoSki14
    So much for blocking can't screw you over twice this season
  8. SnoSki14
    Are there any Euro snow maps?
  9. SnoSki14
    GFS was going for an Icon solution it just did it later. I bet the Euro will show something similar.
  10. SnoSki14
    Yeah it's white rain for the coastal plain.
  11. SnoSki14
    A flop is much more likely than a historic storm especially this late in the season. A rats gonna rat. I'm really gonna appreciate even an average winter if it ever comes
  12. SnoSki14
    Nice trend in the GEFS for early next week
  13. SnoSki14
    GFS being suppressed right now is probably a good thing. In the past that was a big coastal signal. Big move towards the Euro too
  14. SnoSki14
    A few days ago ensembles had coastals as low as 940-950mb. Maybe we'll see a warmer 1888 redux
  15. SnoSki14
    Have to admit this is a nice look.
  16. SnoSki14
    The trends are good though. Would be nice if they continued. You're getting northern stream involvement and more cold air is being drawn in.
  17. SnoSki14
    You gotta dump that primary over upstate NY first.
  18. SnoSki14
    Still think this one has a better chance at delivering snow than wave 2 with more cold air available.
  19. SnoSki14
    There's a lack of an arctic high. You can see the semblance of a primary over upstate NY You're going to get white rain or just rain on the coastal plain even with a great track.
  20. SnoSki14
    Sucks the air mass isn't a little colder for us down here. That track ain't bad
  21. SnoSki14
    Probably the opposite however it could be an inland runner. Likely another congrats NNE storm
  22. SnoSki14
    The GFS not being so wrapped up isn't a bad thing right now
  23. SnoSki14
    Deep interior is favored for both waves. At this time I don't see the coastal plain getting much if anything You either need arctic air in March or a deep coastal low to get significant snows. We're banking on the 2nd option
  24. SnoSki14
    The one for early next week
  25. SnoSki14
    I mean this doesn't look reassuring.
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