SnoSki14
-
Posts
15,451 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by SnoSki14
-
There's some real heat potential to end the month but will it verify. GFS has a massive CONUS wide 594-600+ ridge that would result in widespread 95+ temps if not 100+ readings over a large chunk of the country including us. Combine that with high dews and it's a recipe for disaster
-
We're basically near normal for the year and any semblance of drought has been wiped out. And with more rains to come we'll probably skew towards AN precip wise. This is a stark contrast to where we were this time last year
-
That stuff east of DC could impact us later It's still really early in the day
-
Last 2 days really delivered
-
Getting blasted near New Brunswick right now
-
This atmosphere is completely juiced. 2.3 PWATs and 77/75 right now. Nice swath of rain/tstorms just to my west incoming
-
PWATs are off the charts today. Any breaks in the clouds will add even more fuel for later
-
Solid rains over an inch today. Could prime the area if tomorrow's flooding materializes
-
The rains have been mediocre outside of NW NJ so I'm not getting my hopes up. But at least it's better than last July
-
Good downpour for sure but places just north are probably getting slammed. 2-3+ amounts wouldn't surprise me for them.
-
Just missing it by 5 miles or so south
-
There's gotta be a New Brunswick shield or something. Line is weak sauce around here while stronger everywhere else
-
I remember when the climate change skeptics would use above normal Antarctic sea ice as a way to push back against the scientific consensus. What's their excuse now?
-
Correct which is why it's premature to assume next winter will play out like a standard strong east based Nino Our typical ENSO configurations are losing their grip as CC effects get compounded year after year
-
We'll avoid the 95+ heat for now
-
2023 Atlantic Hurricane season
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
There's no eastern trough -
Models targeted NW areas that got slammed and weakened it quickly further east So they nailed it
-
The rains have arrived here
-
Getting really dark now. The heavy rains are very close near New Brunswick
-
Hopefully 3-4
-
Yikes I'm very close to that yellow
-
The main line is far back. The heavy stuff doesn't come til late afternoon Additionally as the trough pushes east you'll get overhead development further east as well ahead of the line.
-
Some places in eastern PA/NW NJ will see 10"+
-
It's all about the forcing which is displaced westward far moreso than a super Nino like 97-98
-
Atmosphere is juiced already. Getting a lot of activity out ahead of the main line
