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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. Incredibly persistent pattern. No wonder the west has been so cold & snowy A blessing for those facing drought out there Things won't change here until the seasons change. Not expecting any hope til March
  2. What does a Nina phase 5-6 look like in March?
  3. I've been watching this for a while. Some significant ecological damage with the growing season this far along in mid Feb. With the warmth ramping up this will only worsen
  4. That's a favorable look for late winter if true. Lots of cold available. The RNA/-PNA isn't a detriment like it can be in early-mid winter. At the very least you could get some SWFEs. Models are definitely trending towards a -NAO
  5. First time -NAO showing up on GEFS Clown range for now but models have also shown hints of the TPV pressing south in the mid range. PNA becomes less of a factor after mid Feb.
  6. Nice to see the TPV pressing south on the GEFS
  7. Boston is getting 100" minimum Calling it now
  8. Next winter is gonna be the complete opposite of this year. It's gonna be wild. Climate change favors extreme swings
  9. Some arctic blocking would really pin this sucker down. Pacific ain't changing but it doesn't have to in this setup.
  10. The effects of a -PNA in March is different than a -PNA in mid winter. Just need some arctic blocking
  11. Warm weather is nice for a few days in the winter but not for weeks at a time With the coming warmth this week we're going to be seeing leafouts a month ahead of schedule. Allergy season will be heightened and the bugs will be worse than ever.
  12. I agree it's not healthy. It's going to throw everything out of whack A day or two of 60+ is fine but we've already had a record warm Jan. GFS gives us multiple rounds of 60+ and even 70+ temperatures in mid Feb.
  13. I think it'll be #1 in most places given the warmth rest of Feb. Futility will beat out 01/02 as well When all is said and done D-F will rank as the least snowy & warmest winter on record.
  14. Subtle hints from the GEFS for blocking. I think that signal will strengthen in the coming days and weeks
  15. Turning colder is easy when you have 60s in mid Feb. Hell 45-50 would be a big step down but it doesn't mean anything. You'd need a full scale pattern change aka blocking to deliver real cold & snow in March and I don't know if that will happen.
  16. You know its bad when you have to go into interior ME on Feb 10 to find good snows.
  17. Looking at the 10 day forecast and I can't believe it's mid Feb. It reads more like early April. Record early green ups coming. Next week will be warmer than this one
  18. Not exactly sure what the criteria is. Isn't 50F the minimum level for germination. They also differentiate between leaf index and bloom which happens much later.
  19. Things are moving north fast. 3 weeks ahead of schedule already Today and tomorrow will really accelerate that process
  20. Maybe. If there's any month that could have blocking, it's March and early season blocking (December) does tend to repeat eventually. But you're also fighting climo by then. You need a cold March to get snow.
  21. Very reasonable forecast. Down here we might get our first inch in March this year. Only the second time in my lifetime if that happens But it's only Feb 9 so take the weeklies with a grain of salt. Very low bar to clear for March to outperform Jan/Feb though.
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