vortex95

Hampton Beach not 20 min ago. Photos courtesy of Rich Hamel. Even when no tstms exist, the mesoscale "Hampton Effect" as I have called it, comes through!

EDIT: Oops! I did not realize the graphic was adjusted/edited for the additional fake categories! Yes, what you noted about dew points and descriptors, it used to be that way, but enter the age of excess labeling and hype! Below 60 is comfortable, 60-65 moderately humid, 65-70 muggy, and 70 and above oppressive/tropical for the vast majority of the population. Sticky, muggy, and humid mean the same thing. And 60-65 is not muggy per se. Tropical is 70 and above.

SPC took out general tstms for SNE 13z update? I don't think so. Plenty of sun, adequate CAPE, and cold temps aloft as a solid s/w trof swings through. HRRR and RRFS clearly show cells ern MA and the S Coast. 12z RRFS gets carried away it seems Buzzards Bay area showing a li'l 2.78" max but the 06z had a .70" max in the same area. Meso models all along have shown decent potential S Coast today, so no reason to think it will not happen. Also, storms dropping from the N often over-perform in SNE and it's how CC and the S Coast do their best.

BOOTYLICIOUS?

Livin' in a C-I-T-Y!

Same supercell that was in VT earlier, just weakened a bit and now has ramped up, EIR shows a solid overshooting top.

Two thing CoastalWx will go on and on about, Animal House and Rocky IV!

"THEY TOOK THE BAR, WHOLE F'IN BAR!!!"

Should of stayed in VT!!! RRFS was correct w/ discrete cell near RUT.

Left-moving supercell? Where is wxwiz?!

That large of an area to the E of a lead warning? The eastern edge of the warning, it is going to be almost an hour before anything occurs When ppl get a svr tstm warning, and say, 30 min goes by, and nothing has happened yet, that I would argue promotes apathy, and ppl will start to stand down/go back to what they are doing. Many ppl are only willing to take so much time out of the day for short-fused, convective-related warnings like this. A longer lead time is not always better. There comes a point of diminishing returns.

Ever notice watches often stop in Berkshire and Litchfield Counties? I wonder why... WFO CWA boundary perhaps?

12 and 3 km NAM soundings show half-decent spinner potential in VT, but these models tend to overdo it a bit. Small window 4-6pm for Scott supercells in VT.

15z RRFS shows the classic "cell ahead of line" near RUT. 15z HRRR looks somewhat better that prev runs for the SQLN holding on better farther E.

Definitely a CoastalWx switch I see. He is leaning more towards having a PT in the warm season w/ time and all the wx phenomena that comes w/ that!

The Cape Cod CONS LTG. I am pretty sure it was from a second wave after the 3 tornadic supercells in the afternoon. A few years ago, high quality photos surfaced taken from central MA showing local damage and also showed a very crisp and impressive CB in the distance to the E close to sunset. So that would jibe w/ the Cape Cod LTG.

And WxWiz would pass out from Xtreme ecstasy!

At least Weymouth got about 6". Enough for Scott to "break the 6" drought" and it look "VIOLENTLY BEAUTIFUL" out there! LOL.

I am not sure. A warm front passed early in the day, so that would mean RW/TRW were likely. In the afternoon, it was three distinct supercells, one in NH and two in MA. Then I think w/ the actual cold front there were few more severe storms, based on photos near sunset that showed crisp CBs on the horizon well the E of Rutland MA. Warm front passages in the morning w/ RW/TRW occurred both on 7/10/1989 and 6/1/2011.

The lawns in Weymouth will be thankful.

Ok. I haven't looked in detail satellite loop for 10/3/1979. On 7/10/1989, sunrise in ern MA was clear and cool (60 F). Warm front tstms moved through by mid-morning, and then it stayed high OVC after in the warm sector.

Two things that seem to work very well when El Nino is very strong. 1) The CONUS has a mild winter overall. and 2) the Atlantic is suppressed for TCs. This is one of the few truly long range forecasts (months) that actually have a high success rate!

Yes, the was some sun I bet in CT, but mostly cloudy overall in SNE. I noted that day in Woburn it was breezy and a thick high OVC by early afternoon. I went up to U Lowell to monitor the radar, and then noted the monster cell W of ALB. My drive from Lowell to HFD was OVC the entire time. Did not make it to HVN in time and I was just ahead of the MA tornadic supercell moving SE from Hubbardston, but I had no idea there was tornadic there (it formed rapidly after I left Lowell) b/c the VIS sucked! Even though in the HFD area missed the monster supercell, other cells hit the area, and one a drove though, I have never seen it get so dark approaching any storm in New England. The LTG was not crazy, but did it pour!