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vortex95

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by vortex95

  1. See here for the snowfall measuring issues pre-1990. https://news.ucar.edu/14009/snowfall-measurement-flaky-history
  2. Noted Albany NH 8.90" and Debry Line VT 7.41" CoCoRaHS MTD.
  3. But if Weymouth does not get the absolute max pcpn for the event in SNE, it will be "MEH!"
  4. You know, this is a New England forum, so all wx in the region is relevant. Maybe we should start a forum called: "5 SM Radius Weymouth - ACATT"
  5. Maybe some decent tstms SNE if the low passes far enough N.
  6. What about the supercells and TOR warnings in MA? Not a complete fail.
  7. Thanks for a personal experience report! Makes 95 w/ a 70 dew point feel "great", right?
  8. I count approx 90 wind reports for New England today. Not something CoastalWx can just go "MEH!" LOL. Looks like we have at least one spinner. I was thinking 1-2 spinners for the event all along. As WxWiz said, event about as expected. Limited CGs makes sense given the low CAPE. Funny, almost like a cool season event b/c of the high shear/low CAPE and limited LTG! So a victory for the models and pattern recognition well in advance.
  9. You can definately see the environmental wind shear from the cloud motions at different levels!
  10. That looks suspicious. Anytime you see trees sheared/snapped off mid-way like that, that suggests PSBL SPINNER!
  11. Max I see so far is 2.76" Kingfield ME. Meso models showed the NNE R+ well. Mt. Mansfield 2.08"
  12. That S+ event was truly exceptional! Even I was impressed! It takes a lot to impress me big for wx events these days. When you study wx history and records a lot, that tends to do that.
  13. Well, CoastalWx had a spinner in Weymouth a few years ago, and he is still EEYORE! How many of us can claim we had a spinner in New England history in their hometown, given how many cities/towns there are? My claim to fame is an F2 in late Oct 1925 in Woburn - the strongest spinner for so late in the season in New England.
  14. Yes it is! For comparison, the July 10, 1989 "WxWiz PT event" (most spinners on record in one day in New England (9) and largest NEUS outbreak for spinners adding in ern NY/LI and nrn NJ (17), the sfc low that tracked across srn Quebec and nrn ME deepened "only" from 1000 to 998 mb during the event. However, this event had an excellent EML, and no upstream convection the day before, so EML pure!
  15. Now that's stupid. What, now cancel everything for a slight risk of svr? We can't be "held hostage" by the wx for the mere fact there is risk out there! I am reminded of the 2009-10 winter when DCA got slammed and CoastalWx was shutout. The hype was SO out of control, locations in the Northeast such as BUF, that were not going to see a single flake of snow, they cancelled things b/c of the crazy storm hype. I recall OCMs from YYZ at an AMS conference in 2012 stating the stupid hype from the U.S. stations bleed into Canada, and that was messing things up in Toronto! This is one reason why I slam the MSM so much, this constant hype and installing fear is counterproductive for society. There are real social and economic costs/losses b/c of being put in a state of alert all the time. Every inclement wx is treated as "so dangerous." The ordinary gets turned into the extraordinary needlessly. How did society ever survive and progress back in the day before all this nonsense? Society is being turned into a bunch of softies, unable to handle physically or psychologically any risk/hazard.
  16. Yes, we can see the shortcomings in AI in simple daily tasks , so how can we possibly expect it to handle complex problems/issues? There will be a societal/business self-realization soon enough once the hype and novelty of AI wears off. We will eventually figure out what works well and what does not for AI, and I think that will benefit society overall.
  17. I'm just tired of the Debbie Downer attitude from CoastalWx. Might as well call him EEYORE!
  18. I know this heat index sound impressive, but did you know that in the Middle East, it can go *far* higher? Every July-August at Qeshm Island, Iran (METAR code OIKQ), dew points routinely get into the 90s, and on some mornings, the heat index exceeds 150. A few years ago in August, they had 100/97 for a heat index of nearly 180! This is in the Persian Gulf. These very high readings occur in the morning w/ fog is present and light winds off the water. These readings are accurate looking at the daily observations, where the dew points are very high overnight and in the morning, only to mix out quickly by the afternoon and drop quite a bit. Population of the island is 149,000. Takeaways here are that it goes to show humans can endure far higher heat indices and do just fine, and what happens in the Middle East makes heat indices in the U.S. look like a walk in the park, relatively speaking. Context and perspective are important when discussing wx extremes and impacts.
  19. You are not paying attention. Do you not see the isolated supercell to your W on the HRRR fcst I sent? Very disappointing you are downplaying this event.
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