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Everything posted by Kmlwx
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2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
We are in a unique area in that we get coverage from so many TDWRs. What doesn't look great on the main LWX radar can sometimes look a bit different on the more localized radars. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Heck of a track for a nocturnal TOR warn. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Big warning just issued for metro area. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Area is now warned. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Looks like the best hope for storms for the closer in DC area is going to be that activity down NW of Culpeper. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
As it looked like earlier - the best cells are up along a line from Harpers Ferry towards Thurmont/Taneytown - some nice looking cells with good CIMMS probs. Nothing or just junk locally. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
67-68 here in Colesville right now for the temp. Not much going on on radar locally. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I'm still at work in Rockville/Potomac. No windows. Hoping to sneak out before 3. Sounds like things are looking not meh? -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Nobody is asking for a wedge to level their house. It's the tracking of interesting weather. We don't control whether it happens or not. Might as well track it. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Will be in the office today - hoping to do remote during the afternoon, though. Cautiously optimistic! -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Some of the models are threatening to pull me back into being semi interested in this one. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Do you think it would be beneficial (doubt the funding exists) - to have center similar to the river forecast centers for severe storm related stuff? In other words, perhaps staffed with mets that are more familiar with the climo and such of smaller areas they forecast for? Even something broader like dividing the country into very broad regions. West Coast, Plains/Tor Alley, Southeast and Northeast. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
FWIW - CIPS hasn't been particularly enthused about the threat. Obviously it's not the only tool to look at - but does lay out the potential for a bust (which is always there lol). -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
2008 and 2012 had moderate risks as well. Definitely not as rare as some people think! Still unusual! -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I haven't looked enough to weigh in. Probably won't have time to until later tonight or tomorrow AM. But if EJ is in for now... I'm intrigued -
I was kind of surprised it wasn't earlier for most of the area. I think it's the dates between the average first and last frost or freeze (not sure which one). Probably on the growing trend for the growing season. har har
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April 11th for most around here. April 1st on parts of the Delmarva
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2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
STEM continues to be ridiculously underfunded. Sad to compare NOAA's budget to other agencies. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Actually the models don't look bad for Sat. Wow. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
That sounds like a spectacular idea. Worst case scenario it turns out to be a dud and you have the same holes you already had. Best case, you prove that it works and can move forward with the rest of the radars. Though you'd think they'd have a decent baseline from the phased array radar that was (is?) in place at NSSL in OK. -
3/12 Event: Winters Last Hurrah at Least East of Mountains
Kmlwx replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Gust to 43kts in Martinsburg. Have had some decent gusts here the past 30 or 40 minutes. -
3/12 Event: Winters Last Hurrah at Least East of Mountains
Kmlwx replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Very wintry scene indeed. I'll take this on March 12th. -
3/12 Event: Winters Last Hurrah at Least East of Mountains
Kmlwx replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
45kts at Tangier Island now. That may be the strongest gust in the region so far this morning. Not surprising given that it's on the water. -
3/12 Event: Winters Last Hurrah at Least East of Mountains
Kmlwx replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
It also tends to look brighter given the high albedo of snow cover - even if it's only on the grass. -
3/12 Event: Winters Last Hurrah at Least East of Mountains
Kmlwx replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
I think he was poking a little fun at your sun comment. Clouds that produce snow are pretty thin - and the sun is up - and it's March. It's going to be light unless you've got a nice thick cumulonimbus overhead.