Albedoman

Thanks for checking Mike. Typo?

I have a clip for the MT Holly guys writing this discussion for the LV this morning--- Whats even more unbelievable is that 6-10 warrants a winter storm watch and they did not even issue one. Yes I agree it is warranted as a minimum If the cold air buildup upon in a deepening coastal LP, the rain will likely turn to heavy wet snow in an extreme dendritic growth situation and MT Holly will be forced to issue a winter storm warning after we had 3+ in of snow on the road in the LV. With all the truck traffic in the LV, thats a disaster in the making. Why even mention if you are not sure.

My forecast - From northwest NJ to Long Island from Northern Surekill county to the Poconos 6 -12 inches of snow. From LV west into Harrisburg 1-2 in of wet slop on the grass. Anyone south of LV might as well go pound sand. Winter is dead folks and this next storm will slap the hell out of the Philly metro area and even the LV for snow accumaltions. NIMBY syndrome for sure when it comes to snowfall events for se and south central PA

Looks Promising as temps jump into the 60's. God I would love to see some training t storms. That would make up for this crappy March worth it. The Hail I could live without but a continuous lighting storm would be like getting a nor'easter KU storm right now without the shoveling. Bring it on bay and for you Ralph Buckle up.

This thread is for tracking t- storm events only. Its time we all stop wishful thinking of a KU event happening this spring and start tracking our next squall line event.

we have been good to toss in winter since the first week in January. Time to think t- storms. We should be tracking them as much as we have been chasing these BS snowstorms on the models. This is the first year in my memory (35 years) that I have not had to even bring out the shovel as the snow is gone in less than 24 hours. The snow that has been recorded at LVI has been all from either white rain snow events that have melted away in less than 12 hours or a dusting from a weird snow squall. The dusting we had in the arctic outbreak in December blew away and evaporated. I have more dust on my snow shovel and snow thrower. The real issue to ponder- what the hell happened to all of the alberta clippers in January and was this disappearance a true pretext to our crappy winter? This year will be known as the year without snow and the year of the lake cutters. I heard more thunder than I saw snow this winter. Disgusting. Also this winter season is known as the season without sunshine. So many cloudy days with crappy below normal temps thus far in March. What stands out the most however in this pattern is the fact that we had so so so many cloudy nights with record warm overnight lows from fall and lasting into the winter season. Whatever happened to the fall crisp and clear nights or the cold clear bitter nights in winter? I am ready to go back to normalcy that is for sure. I hope April brings on a new weather pattern with warm spells and t- storm frontal passages

.5 inch of snow does not cut it with me for precip totals. At this points 1-3 in snows are worthless. I would rather see 1" rainfall totals right now to recharge the parched groundwater tables. This week alone we had two wildfire hazardous messages. If this crappy weather pattern does not break soon, we will be heading into a drought in late April and streamflows will be down big time as the water gets sucked out of the ground during the releafing process.

Four degree daily anomaly and this indicates spring? Had to really dig this one up? Notice the blue in the Chesapeake Bay area. All this model tells me is that there is a decent chance of a Nor'easter forming as the cloudy and really cold rainy days continue until the second week of April Thanks anyway.

Sorry, but what guidance is showing Spring? I have yet to see a 70+ degree in the next 15 days. In fact the temps for the rest of March may not even hit the 60's. Spring to many of us is 70+ degree days with t-showers. Hell the soil temps are still so cold , the grass will not turn dark green yet. The leaves on my pussy willow tree have not even budded yet. 5 out 7 days a week of Cloudy 40 degree days just do not indicate Spring to me yet. We just do not have the white crap on the ground this year thats all. Give me Feb again as that was a spring month to me.

what a joke 1" in Reading and nearly 8 in at ABE Give me a break. That run is on drugs. Overdose on heroin model run and Narcan cannot even save it.

this better explains it as I posted in the Philly forum the models trying to hot a bouncing ball and we get whiffed everytime

Stated and summed up with all of these models in the last two days in these three simple words we all come to know "HIGH BUST POTENTIAL" This has been on-going this entire season. I expect nothing less at this point since consistency for each model run between 3-5 days has been an utter joke. Well lets see the 18z model run will show a huge strung out mess and we all get rain or zilcho as the 0z runs will clearly depict a tight wound up series of lows near the sweet spot with 2 ft snow accumulations. Place your bets. ITs like playing the roulette wheel. Another word missing from this year in our vocabulary- "OVERPERFORMER" LOL as the models are simple ball paddles right now.as in this clip

the only problem with this measurement is that does not accurately represent the entire LV as a whole. Many places in western lehigh county have received as much snow as Norristown PA, less than 2 inches. Furthermore, a true snow weenie would be also looking at how many days of measurable snow has been on the ground at LVI. I would bet that record will be broken. Thus far at my house no snow has lasted on the ground longer than 12 hours.

I love this tit for tat. Great to get our spirits up for a nothing burger model run. This clip below is about the truck diver as the Euro model spitting out 30 inches of snow and us acting like Sheriff Justice by getting ticked off. LOL

this is the most accurate post of the week.

Truth hurts sometimes. After last nights snowfall bust IMHO, I hold out no hope that 10 day models will ever be accurate, no matter how many times they are calibrated. It's like wishing the wheels on you car to be perfectly aligned all the time but at the same time going over potholes, especially for PA. Every single 10-15 day model demonstrates the inability to project accurate snowfall totals. They are only good for sniffing out potential overall pattern change. While I agree the La Nina pattern is on its deathbed after three miserable years, I would expect nothing less than abrupt weather pattern change while its on last breath in March or April to signify its passing. Typically but not always a deep LP forming off the east coast is the precursor of this pattern change. I have seen this situation unfold nearly a dozen times. I expect nothing less. Actually a moderate to heavy snow event in the next week or so is really needed for our soils (since we have been robbed of snow all winter) for a beautiful spring flowering season and before the buds are formed on all of the trees. I would agree a moderate snow event is most likley in the cards as we have nothing to lose and even Stevie Wonder can sing along with that tune.

at this point winter is DEAD. A car topper this morning . Put a fork in it please Euro is on drugs.

time to put this winter season to bed. Every 10 day 12+ storm event has turned to rain-- every one one on the GFS model alone. Here is my final answer to this winter season below- instead of bacon just add the word snow. I just hope we get more rain to avoid a drought. Tonights downpours really helped. Most rain all year in a 4 hour period.

posted this 16 hours ago in NYC forum. spot on LMAO wow, a real winner coming tonight cannot wait. When I wake up on Tuesday morning I expect to be shoveling away these two inches of a whopping heavy wet snow sleet slush ball event. More like just pushing off the crap off the driveway. However my true expectations when I wake up-- is what the hell happened to all the mixed crap that fell last night?-- its already gone. This winter season, no snowfall on the ground lasts more than 8 hours in the LV this year. Might as well be spring as my crocuses and daffodils are in full bloom, my pussy willow tree has bloomed...

by the way will someone come shovel around my deck too? LOL

wow, its really piling up from Lake Tahoe, CA here tonight.. LMAO . We can not even a few inches to stick around here for a day in PA

wow, a real winner coming tonight cannot wait. When I wake up on Tuesday morning I expect to be shoveling away these two inches of a whopping heavy wet snow sleet slush ball event. More like just pushing off the crap off the driveway. However my true expectations when I wake up-- is what the hell happened to all the mixed crap that fell last night?-- its already gone. This winter season, no snowfall on the ground lasts more than 8 hours in the LV this year. Might as well be spring as my crocuses and daffodils are in full bloom, my pussy willow tree has completely budded out and the tulips are coming up. My synopsis of this HECS event outcome----Might as well put this winter back right back into the air fryer. However, please just make sure it is not a Cosori air fryer- I do want to see another recall of this winter season. LMAO

wow, a real winner coming tonight cannot wait. When I wake up on Tuesday morning I expect to be shoveling away these two inches of a whopping heavy wet snow sleet slush ball event. More like just pushing off the driveway. However my true expectations when I wake up-- is what the hell happened to all the mixed crap that fell last night-- its already gone. This winter season, no snowfall on the ground lasts more than 8 hours in the LV this year. Might as well be spring as my crocuses and daffodils are in full bloom, my pussy will tree has completely budded out and the tulips are coming up. My synopsis of this HECS event outcome----Might as well put this winter back right back into the air fryer. However, please just make sure it is not a Cosori air fryer- I do want to see another recall of this winter season. LMAO

I have constantly stated that the winter storm warning criteria for the LV for snowfall is set too high. It should be at 5 in too because of the truck traffic alone warrants it. LV metro has now almost million people and has major arterial interstate /road networks in place. Its time for MT Holly to wake up. You would think after the 2007 Valentines Day disaster they would lower the snowfall criteria. Wrong.

aren't we the optimistic one. LOL I expect Nothing and like it in the LV. Its been that way all year. If we get some, it all gone by Tuesday at lunch anyway.