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the_other_guy

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Everything posted by the_other_guy

  1. We have never seen a prolonged stretch of warm weather like this. We have never seen temperatures close to 70° at night in the middle of January. walk outside right now in shorts and a T-shirt sun is coming out to our west… You have never seen anything like this before on January 11 I don’t know what the rest of the winter holds, but this stretch of January weather has been simply unprecedented. It is time to stop comparing this to previous warm winters and acknowledge we are in a new league now. The cooler week ahead features temperatures at least 10° above normal with two days in the mid 50s. That is the big cool down coming tonight. Unprecedented
  2. The cutter for next weekend that has been like every other storm this season...and last season What are you looking at?
  3. Simplistic, but valid points cold or warm, the pattern isnt there for the NYC metro to get snow. It has been like that for a year. My parents live in Whitestone. They have not had any appreciable snow on the ground that lasted more than a day or two coming up on 2 years Last year, even the November storm was gone in less than 24 hours. They had a light accumulation in March that stuck around for a few days Lost in snow totals that get washed away, is the fact that most of NYC has not had prolonged snow cover since March 2018. That is a terrible pattern. And it shows no signs of changing
  4. I put up the Christmas lights at the end of November in a T-shirt. Taking them down today in a tank top Our new normal for better or worse
  5. Sorry to tell you, but we’re experiencing it right now This continued level of warmth for three weeks straight in January is simply unprecedented We will get saved because the last week turns colder… But if this pattern that started on December 21 started a little later, We would’ve easily set the warmest January ever this month This level of sustained warmth is simply unprecedented, the only thing close is December 2015 But if you stick around, you’re going to see this broken again in the next few years Im becoming convinced that the warm winters with periods of cold are here to stay. No cold air from 1/1-1/19. 70 today and tomorrow Simply amazing and historic
  6. I flew over the lakes yesterday. Right under the UP of Michigan Amazing how little of the lakes are frozen this year and how little snow is on the ground in the Upper Mid West
  7. 31F for our “cold” morning Just killed a mosquito in my kitchen If that doesnt sum up this winter...I dont know what does
  8. I wouldnt bet on it happening. And thats the beauty of long term averages, a few large anomalies dont move the needle too much. If it did happen, given the garbage we see now, your best chance is a big March and November storm (sure to melt the next day) with nothing contributed in January February and December.
  9. I flew out at 730. Nothing on the ground Snow was north of the Conduit
  10. Just to calm everyone down...a nice photo of winter alive and well in Utah. 26F with 167 inches of snow thus far. Patterns change. Everyone take a breath and relax
  11. 43F Dense Fog Less than 1/4 to 1/2 mile depending on where you are on the ridge lines
  12. Is it a true El nino? Or are we just mimicking that with a warmed earth and a bad pattern? I think in the not to distant future, this is what our winter look like
  13. I think you get a salvage or two or three storms...But a snapback would not fit the pattern of the 2010s. This (as I said in late Dec) could be a record warm January. We have never seen anything quite like the duration and intensity of this warmth in January. Where plus 5 is your baseline and the warm days could jump from there. This January moves into Dec 2015 territory (unprecedented) is my thinking.
  14. 28F at 7am Better hope for small ball to save this next 2 weeks... they can’t all be home runs
  15. The storm track is troubling I thought when we saw the string of Oct storms, we were in a good place with the tracks A 40/70 storm has been hard to come by for over a year
  16. Last year was cold in between the cutters, this year (at least jan) doesn’t look like it will be That is a huge difference between the two years and it needs to be acknowledged. We have a potential record warm january headed our way. Extended warmth. No cold air in site. There is no comparing that to last year 34F at 7am
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