the_other_guy

And the pattern that was changing...stays exactly the same Cutter to rain Let’s see how last week of January does

I think guys on here really latched onto an extreme pattern change on a 70 degree weekend The truth is, even our colder patterns have been bad Too many people salivating for a front end dump from a cutter next weekend. That was December. Frankly, yawn, especially if you live surrounded by concrete. Last winter was crappy. The winter before had an extended crappy period but was saved by tail end storms. Jury still out here...but fast forward through this upcoming week of +10 and we are at 1/20 with nothing to show for it. 44F at 1030pm. Still 9 degrees above the normal high for the day.

The sun is down at it is still close to 60° in Westchester Amazing

Ill take nothing on the ground in NYC post storm if I was putting $$ down

We have never seen a prolonged stretch of warm weather like this. We have never seen temperatures close to 70° at night in the middle of January. walk outside right now in shorts and a T-shirt sun is coming out to our west… You have never seen anything like this before on January 11 I don’t know what the rest of the winter holds, but this stretch of January weather has been simply unprecedented. It is time to stop comparing this to previous warm winters and acknowledge we are in a new league now. The cooler week ahead features temperatures at least 10° above normal with two days in the mid 50s. That is the big cool down coming tonight. Unprecedented

The cutter for next weekend that has been like every other storm this season...and last season What are you looking at?

63F at 6am on 1/12 That really says it all

Simplistic, but valid points cold or warm, the pattern isnt there for the NYC metro to get snow. It has been like that for a year. My parents live in Whitestone. They have not had any appreciable snow on the ground that lasted more than a day or two coming up on 2 years Last year, even the November storm was gone in less than 24 hours. They had a light accumulation in March that stuck around for a few days Lost in snow totals that get washed away, is the fact that most of NYC has not had prolonged snow cover since March 2018. That is a terrible pattern. And it shows no signs of changing

Easily

I put up the Christmas lights at the end of November in a T-shirt. Taking them down today in a tank top Our new normal for better or worse

Anybody else think we bust high today? Look at that sun!

Sorry to tell you, but we’re experiencing it right now This continued level of warmth for three weeks straight in January is simply unprecedented We will get saved because the last week turns colder… But if this pattern that started on December 21 started a little later, We would’ve easily set the warmest January ever this month This level of sustained warmth is simply unprecedented, the only thing close is December 2015 But if you stick around, you’re going to see this broken again in the next few years Im becoming convinced that the warm winters with periods of cold are here to stay. No cold air from 1/1-1/19. 70 today and tomorrow Simply amazing and historic

48F at 8 am

I flew over the lakes yesterday. Right under the UP of Michigan Amazing how little of the lakes are frozen this year and how little snow is on the ground in the Upper Mid West

31F for our “cold” morning Just killed a mosquito in my kitchen If that doesnt sum up this winter...I dont know what does

I wouldnt bet on it happening. And thats the beauty of long term averages, a few large anomalies dont move the needle too much. If it did happen, given the garbage we see now, your best chance is a big March and November storm (sure to melt the next day) with nothing contributed in January February and December.

I flew out at 730. Nothing on the ground Snow was north of the Conduit

-RA starting JFK

I’m going out there in March looking forward to it!

Just to calm everyone down...a nice photo of winter alive and well in Utah. 26F with 167 inches of snow thus far. Patterns change. Everyone take a breath and relax

32F Dusting. This winter sucks. Quick Inch

43F Dense Fog Less than 1/4 to 1/2 mile depending on where you are on the ridge lines

Hunter today

Is it a true El nino? Or are we just mimicking that with a warmed earth and a bad pattern? I think in the not to distant future, this is what our winter look like

I think you get a salvage or two or three storms...But a snapback would not fit the pattern of the 2010s. This (as I said in late Dec) could be a record warm January. We have never seen anything quite like the duration and intensity of this warmth in January. Where plus 5 is your baseline and the warm days could jump from there. This January moves into Dec 2015 territory (unprecedented) is my thinking.