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the_other_guy

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Everything posted by the_other_guy

  1. This week not producing is a big deal. Any winter with a goose egg in January isn’t a good winter buy any definition. Fat lady is starting to warm up boys. One warm outbreak in February and you can stick a fork in this winter...again.
  2. I think the question is minor vs non existent if trends hold correct
  3. The models are all saying the same thing over and over. Be it flurries, light snow, a dusting, or a couple or inches...this isnt our storm due to dry air shredding the storm apart. End of story...unless something changes dramatically. On Tuesday, let’s not have rehash of what went wrong with the models as we do time and again.
  4. There is a nice piece of property in Raleigh for you. Save a lot on taxes too
  5. Yes that is a big part of it. But a warmer, more humid climate is the other (larger) piece. NYC just doesnt get cold at night anymore, sadly.
  6. Has anybody else noticed how warm it’s been relative to forecast from five days ago? This week was never supposed to be in the low to mid 40s, but that is where we have been thus far...even with cold front passage. This is turning out to be a very mild January.
  7. Is that notable in 2020? Perhaps for a cool year? Almost every month we have is at or above normal these days.
  8. We can no longer discount the extreme warmth. This new normal isnt historically normal for this area at all. Comparing these last few years to historical averages with a much cooler planet is an apples to oranges comparison. The Nino season snapped something. Nothing has been the same since then
  9. 47F Insects galore. Its like we live in a new climate...as soon as we pop into the mid 40s, they come out
  10. Lots of Frost 26F. A sure sign that a warmer air mass is coming in today. But looks pretty and reminds me it is January
  11. Yes but again, it’s being driven by overnight lows. As several posters have pointed out. Daytime highs have not been that mild... yet. This week is a whole different story.
  12. I’m going to say mid 2000s. It was the middle of January. At the end of the week we had 6+ inches on the ground in city
  13. Look, at least it is somewhat cold. 40 day, 25 night. We have had a lot worse in terms of January. It will snow this month. And it looks like a good chunk of it will be coldish (slightly above normal but still feel like January) I’ll take it
  14. Are we going to have the rare day where we under perform today? Only 29F at 1130a
  15. That was obvious from late December onward. People just didnt want to see it
  16. 34F when I left at 4 am. 37F when I arrived home at 5pm. Says so much and nothing at all.
  17. The snow cover line begins right at 287 where there is elevation: Tarrytown has snow, Nyack does not. The storm was modeled perfectly. Models continue to be spot on. Disappointment source is from not excepting what the models are showing OR using one-off runs in the 24 hours prior to verify a wishcast.
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