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the_other_guy

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Everything posted by the_other_guy

  1. Remember that one one in 99 or 00? Rain to ice to snow and everyone was driving home half tanked in a raging snow storm?
  2. Why don’t we worry about our snowstorm this week and cold air that is coming? Considering the same ensembles called for record warmth for the rest of Dec a few days ago, maybe they arent so reliable 15 days out? Just a thought
  3. The heaviest snow went south of us...We just never had that intensity in southern westchester
  4. Can we stop posting this? The region gets 20-30 inches of snow per year. Let’s stop making it sound like we live in Jacksonville. it is perfectly legitimate to expect and look forward to snow of some sort in the NYC metro
  5. You obviously haven’t checked out the catskills. A freaking disaster
  6. That is one hearty tomato plant! You should save the seeds from that thing! 28F
  7. I agree with you 100%. I just want to clarify what I said. You are going to approach the middle of December with a below normal departure. You would need unprecedented warmth in 15 days to get December into the top three warmest in New York City. I’m not rushing anything... I’m just saying that is a stretch even in the 2010s.
  8. Doubtful in Dec for NYC. Frankly, you begin running out of days to make that happen. We are already way colder than 2015. You ride that out this week you get to mid month. At which point you would need 2 weeks of unprecedented Nino warmth to get there. you would need to get above 43.7F for the average to notch past 1984 for a number 3 slot
  9. Might as well. A few days ago the models said something else. Sounds ridiculous...but
  10. If we couldn’t believe the forecast more than five days out when it was cold, how come we preach gospel when its showing warmth? Because that is the default state? Just curious. On a separate note, this forums swings wildly through emotions by the day based on the latest model. I enjoy the knowledge on here. But geez
  11. Thank you! Lot of wishcasting on here. my temp actually climbed over last hour. wet flakes were just that, not a region wide transition as the storm exited. Temps are still in the 40s. Exactly as predicted all week
  12. That was a very large band of heavy rain that went through at 6:30a In a different climate this would’ve been a major snowstorm 42F
  13. At least we arent under the orange or yellow zone from cuomo or on that map
  14. The catskills are still completely shut down. scary. I can’t wait to put on the skis
  15. Have you been in the same forum over the last week? Guys have been going on and on over the great look and great pattern. I kept pointing out that the first week of December was getting warmer and warmer in the midst of all the cold and snow talk. 50 and rain on Monday. 50 and rain this weekend. 50 and rain next weekend. Not even close
  16. 32F as a sea of warmth with transient cold shots and warm rain continues. Very consistent pattern through several years of shifting blocking, pac jet, mjo, nina, nino, and month. I predict it will continue...without ever looking at Day 10 on a LR forecast
  17. Inlaws have 10 inches of snow on ground in Cleveland. We are talking about another week in the 50s and a rainstorm
  18. Agreed. It is all lining up against prolonged cold. New normal is close to 3 degrees above normal. AN is 5 plus degrees...Not through a few days of extreme warmth, but a persistent above normal that wont dissipate. Snowstorms require luck now. Prolonged snow on ground is non existent. We will see if this is a few year trend or not, but I have a feeling you are right
  19. Cold air side, I am surprised nobody’s talking about most of the first week of December now running above normal. A change from just a few days ago 55F at 7 am. Doing yard work in shorts on 12/1
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