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Everything posted by the_other_guy
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December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
the_other_guy replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
BGM isnt in our forum and no one in this area is at threat of a flash melt from the few inches of snow (or nothing) that will remain as we get closer to xmas eve. Mid 40s Mon thru Wed will meltdown our 6-12 inch snowpack very quickly. -
December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
the_other_guy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I came down to Queens to shovel. Definitely more snow in northern Queens then up in Westchester. By 2 inches or so. Whitestone : 11 inches- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
the_other_guy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I would do a commercial for the Toro. Excellent snowblower. Minimal maintenance- 1,011 replies
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December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
the_other_guy replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Yes. As we get inundated with technology and models, time and time again historical trends prove very relevant. We have 10 inches. That is good for the winter ahead -
December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
the_other_guy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Still have a consistent band sitting over me. I stopper shoveling because it keeps falling. Not quite over yet- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
the_other_guy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
No they werent. Models had 2 ft depicted as far north as Albany with the Northward trend- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
the_other_guy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Well this was a Bust. A nice bust, but a pretty big bust nonetheless. Culprit wasnt mixing but dry slot Hastings on Hudson just shy of 8 inches; forecast 12-16 21F at 7 am- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
the_other_guy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
It is a shame. Cold air really locked in over the region. Mixing really isnt the biggest issue. The precip just isnt there. No way we get to NWS forecast. Mine was 12-16. This is a nice little storm before xmas. Nothing more beyond that- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
the_other_guy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
That is bold. They would need more in round 2 then round 1. Hopefully- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
the_other_guy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
That’s ok because the state of NJ is a giant dry slot headed our way- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
the_other_guy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
4.5 inches at moment.- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
the_other_guy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Hastings. Was def sleet during lighter precip. Back toward a light snow now. Vis up over last hour- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
the_other_guy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Westchester 24F All sleet at moment- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
the_other_guy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Looks like 1/2 mile and moderate snow Need 1/4 for heavy snow KISP 170021Z 05017G27KT 1/2SM R06/6000VP6000FT SN FZFG FEW005 BKN009 OVC015 M02/M02 A3012 RMK AO2 PK WND 04027/0018 P0001 T10171022- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
the_other_guy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I would go with that then. Airports are surprisingly good. All based on visibility as opposed to an observation from a window- 1,011 replies
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Just to throw this out there... Does anybody remember the Valentine’s Day storm? All sleet. Awesome storm. Stayed around for a long time. All of a sudden this forum that likes winter weather is so anti-sleet. You get a few hours of snow and several hours of sleet and you are in winter storm nirvana because that snowpack isnt going anywhere for a long time
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21F. When was the last time it was this cold/dry with precip moving in?
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Dont be deflated. It is Dec 16. History tells us this Dec storm is a good harbinger of other storms. Also have a good airmass for the rest of Dec.
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You’re being too hard on yourself. You were talking about a 50 mile shift over several days of tracking. Unfortunately for Long Island 50 miles makes all the difference especially with warm water
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Correct. Several posters over the last couple of days have been talking about a Northward Trend. It verified. It just seems crushing because we had 50 plus pages of tracking before that telling us this was going to be an epic blizzard
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It really isn’t the models. It’s a social media world with people attached to their phones 24/7 I never saw so many storm specific threads on the website before. guys have been tracking this thing and every move it made for over a week. Of Course this was going to happen
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That is a staggering statistic. Has it happened before? Was 72-73 that long of a stretch?
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I go up on the water out there and within the Long Island spectrum that’s true. But when you look at the bigger picture, the eastern North Shore only works for snow if you have a good coastal setup as opposed to 15 miles North and West of the city line which can work in various marginal scenarios. The storm is a perfect example. If it isnt marginal, North Shore does great. But if it is marginal, you would rather be in White Plains than Huntington
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End. Always end unless you are in a 1996 scenario and you’re going for broke to see how much is on ground at once
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Sleet/snow/rain mix. Precip is racing the sunset. Shame. If it was a few hours later this may work out for some of us on the fringe