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the_other_guy

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Everything posted by the_other_guy

  1. It is funny looking at radar. Snow to north. Rain to south. Nothing in between. There were two questions regarding fundamentals of this storm for NYC: warmth or QPF Looks like QPF will be the issue as of now
  2. Snowing in hastings for past 2 hours. Nothing to show for it 22F
  3. Why would this come in warm for tomorrow? The low is offshore. Airmass decent. Rain to 84 seems unlikely
  4. Still snowing lightly, but we are putting a Bow on this. 7 inches in Hastings
  5. It is just sitting there. Really unexpected. And the snow almost looks like it does right before it changes to rain big big flakes except it’s fluffy not wet hey
  6. Back end of heaviest bands is running right thru southern westchester thru the CT coastline. Lets see if that progresses further north.
  7. My temp shot up 3 degrees in last 2 hours. Now 33F Anyone else observe that?
  8. You read my mind with second post. 10 am start. Temps in city are still too warm for this marginal event. They are still in mid/upper 30s. Need some good rates to overcome daylight and 30s
  9. Im at 34F up in Westchester. Temps in city still in low 40s. This airmass has been quite a bit warmer than forecast over the last 3 days. Dont know if that affects things tomorrow for the start...but def marginal temps going into this.
  10. He didnt cancel anything. Run after run has shown 3-6 inches as a safe call.
  11. This just seems to be trending in the wrong direction with each model run
  12. Another day well above normal and well above forecasts. Mid 40s. JFK has grass peeking thru today. I imagine chunks of southern queens will have grass out and about where snow wasnt piled by the end of the day.
  13. Everyone is so busy talking about the next storm, no one is seeing the rapid melting in front of them. Kind of a metaphor for life, right?
  14. Temps in urban areas already above 40. Rain, rain and rain. These two days were much warner than any forecast
  15. Supertall buildings have been built for years. It is not a new thing. Harry Macklowe is a life long Manhattan developer. There is a great book on him and Trump and the GM Building called Liars Ball. Long story short, he knows what he is doing. If the building is falling apart, he knowingly built on the cheap
  16. Warm today. City was downright balmy. Over performed and lots of melting
  17. I think you need to give it some more time. I would like to see some more radar activity of the transition. Then lets see where shore temps stand. In fairness, shore mixing was always modeled. I read “that wont happen” many times haha
  18. We have a second house in Wading River for 30 plus years. Sometimes, during extreme coastal storms, they have done better than city. But for the most part, the climate fundamentals are against a start to finish coastal snowstorm on eastern LI. They are surrounded by water that is well above freezing all year long. The needle has to thread perfectly, and when it does it’s usually not a perfect storm for the city because it is too far east
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