It is too warm.
We are pushing this mild January leads to snow narrative.
This whole week is 3 to 5° above normal. All you do is eliminate possibilities with that airmass.
You become totally dependent on track, phasing, timing. To bring in a baseball analogy because it feels like spring outside, You are hoping for a homerun because picking up runs through small ball fundamentals isnt going to work
Yesterday was rain, tomorrow will be rain, the next one will be rain unless it is a perfect setup.
That’s a bad position to be in if you like snow.