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the_other_guy

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Everything posted by the_other_guy

  1. the_other_guy
    No One logical said it wasn’t gonna be a big deal…But the worst of it (in terms of totals) will be north and west of New York City…Because whatever falls between now and midnight, we have lost out on 6 to 8 hours of heavy rain and they didnt.
  2. the_other_guy
    Wouldnt that still be below what most models were showing? You need that rain thats been falling all morning upstate to get those strong totals
  3. the_other_guy
    Because models were predicting 8-10 inches of rain. Looking at radar, the immediate metro area will miss out on several hours of heavy rain as it skirts north (at least initially) Without those hours of precip, the storm totals becomes a bust. Now, if you are in the mid Hudson Valley…caching. But that is off by 80-100 miles in terms of heaviest precip bands. By modern forecasting expectations, that is a model error (not huge, but significant nonetheless) I believe it is cloudy in Forest Hills at moment, and pouring in Newburgh. That distance is the “bust”
  4. the_other_guy
    I’m not saying anything was wrong. I’m saying I agree with the drier model by looking at the radar and movement of cells.
  5. the_other_guy
    And this makes sense given the radar. This isnt a coastal storm. A lot of people are looking at this thinking the radar is going to magically fill-in like it’s a Low forming off the Delmarva in January
  6. the_other_guy
    I mean…the day is young…but based on current radar placement, I wouldn’t laugh this off yet
  7. the_other_guy
    I find it odd that the Mayor keeps saying “there is no time” I read that yesterday and today. Imagine how many people you could have evacuated in the past 24 hours if you reversed the interstates yesterday while the storm was crossing Cuba instead of saying “there is no time”
  8. the_other_guy
    We will know by 11-1pm haha That’s when this is supposed to crank that high
  9. the_other_guy
    All the LI Airports last hour. Gusty from Brookhaven out. Even Islip is fairly calm
  10. the_other_guy
    You are wishcasting. Unless the storm puts on a turn signal and makes a sharp left turn, The eye is not landing on Long Island. Of course there are widespread effects outside of the eye. But the thinking of a landfall between Smith Point Park and Southampton was off by 100 miles…I am glad to say
  11. the_other_guy
    Eastern track guys/gals/models were correct. That eye never touches LI
  12. the_other_guy
    This rain should end before 11pm. kind of got into a sticky territory because there’s going to be an hours long gap
  13. the_other_guy
    Not in Westchester. I was just out for a leisurely dinner. Everything seemed fairly normal
  14. the_other_guy
    theres a phycological barrier there that skews peoples thinking. 30 years ago, those areas were rural. The rural line was 112. That isnt the case anymore. The rural line is really the William Floyd now…and it will stay there thanks to Pataki and his protected lands programs. That said twin forks is its own area. Eastern Suffolk begins east of Nicols Road imo
  15. the_other_guy
    On the beach in Wading River. Sandy had minimal damage for us. Even with minimal damage: There was no power for at least a week There was several inches of water in the basement with associated water damage There was a sharp 6 foot drop at the bulkhead and the beach was destroyed. Even Irene, Which was a nothing burger for the five boroughs… As the storm came through big branch fell off an old tree in North Flushing, right into a bedroom and killed a guy as he slept. Long story short, you dont wish for a hurricane to hit your forum area
  16. the_other_guy
    That’s not true. That track is a Bob track with a much weaker storm. you need significant westward movement for all of us to “get it.”
  17. the_other_guy
    Just feels like a late September early October rainy evening. Very nice for a brief interlude
  18. the_other_guy
    Why should it be relocated? It accurately reflects JFK weather which is vastly different than the urban city or urban Nassau. Ive seen everything from accumulating snow to dense fog on the lower half of JFK that the upper half may not be experiencing. But guess what is on the lower half? The majority of the landing runways. Pilots care about the weather where the plane is touching down. Airport ASOS’ exist to give pilots and ATC the most accurate weather information for safe operations.
  19. the_other_guy
    Another beautiful morning without AC 66F This forum seems intent on creating a drenching storm and heat wave…to no avail
  20. the_other_guy
    Wow. On so many levels
  21. the_other_guy
    that bridge was due to collapse anyway…
  22. the_other_guy
    Wow strong gusts ahead of this storm with mainly clear skies
  23. the_other_guy
    There is a baseline normal. We are using the baseline. We didnt reference 1970-2000 baseline normals last year, no need to reference old baselines this year
  24. the_other_guy
    80F Today reminds me of what summer days out on Eastern Long Island used to be like: temperate days, cool nights, rarely needed the AC at night. Geez, the climate out here has changed so drastically in such a short time…it is scary. It is all in the dewpoint and most of it is in the last 20 years.
  25. the_other_guy
    Schlacter: "I think New Yorkers deserve a lot better, and I think they deserve the best weather station money can buy." It is funny: airports, skyscrapers, convention centers, roads, hotels, trains, skyscrapers…just about every category you can think of that involves a physical structure is bigger, better, and nicer elsewhere. Why would he think NYers deserve the best weather station. Just living in NY involves accepting sub par on just about everything…including, apparently, the CPK weather station
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