the_other_guy

Plenty of seasonal temps (which is cold) forecasted.

49F at 8 am Considering it’s the middle of November look at the leaves on the trees in my yard I cut the grass yesterday Unreal

30F. Despite forecasts I knew we were going for a hard freeze and drained the outdoor shower. Much warmer in Queens and Nassau this morning. Mid 40s by 830 Edit: Suffolk much cooler mid 30s

Ill be the parent that pleads with feuding siblings here haha It is 44° out, you have a frigid weekend on the way for early November, you’ve had frost all week… Stop fighting about a seasonal outlook that is an educated guess at best. There are plenty of posters with biases on the site. If you like the bias you like them if the bias annoys you they annoy you

coldest day of the year thus far… We never got above 49F. Deer fencing was a chilly endeavor

Doesnt work like that long term. Like saying the house is on fire but Im nice and warm We arent the new Denver. We are in transition to DC or Norfolk.

33F this morning. Moderate frost on cold surfaces only

Because hitting 32° for an hour doesn’t really end the growing season… Even if it does on paper. You really need a hard freeze or extended freeze.

What’s scary is that 2021 isn’t even close to the other years

It’s an odd leaf change as well… Particularly in warmer areas like the city. I notice a lot of the leaves have just dried up and started falling off the trees with out ever going through a color transformation. Almost all of the maples on my parents block in Queens are just dried up leaves.

The problem is, historically, if you’re dealing with a very warm fall… And this is almost like an El Niño fall… You’re going to get a crappy Winter if you like winter. Temperature wise, the best thing that could happen is in November at or slightly below normal. But if we’re shooting for 72 next week… And I think those are usually extreme (on the warm side) this far out…You could start to see a clearer picture of where we’re headed

It came out of nowhere! Like a gust front…But its still October

Unforecasted rain in the LHV!

Actually warm in the sun! 62F

Brutal wind, heavy rain and freezing temperatures in southern Westchester this midday Saturday. And the NWS and forecasters wonder why an entire city ignored warnings for IDA.

Yosemite on arrival into SFO. Snow line from storm just to the west. Sierras covered very nicely from the event at higher altitudes

Inbound to EWR. On time. Rain stopped. SW winds at 10 knots at the moment. They even turned the airport around to land on the 22s. Not anything like the aviation forecast from this morning…happily

Lots of color in westchester. I am imagining they are just at or past peak? Share pics!

42F Coldest night so far Of course weeklies long range aren’t reliable… The thing that I’m sure a lot of posters find frustrating is that many of us take the warm weeklies and hang onto them like they’re gospel, but when we see long range cold, we dismiss it as unreliable. Food for thought on an early Sunday…

yeah some variation depending on location in region. I don’t see any air besides normal or above normal. Maybe slightly below monday and tues.

Normal high today is 60 Give or take a degree or two depending on what part of the region you’re in Just for perspective…

Who would ever make a call for November in New York City to be snowy? As someone above pointed out it’s happened a few times AND almost always leads to a nearly snowless winter to follow. As another poster mentioned, a warm Sept Oct and Nov is almost always a sign of a warm winter. In the next 3-4 weeks you will know if winter is going to arrive or if we have to hope for small-ball, pattern, one-off snow events like Feb 2014 or Feb 95

Correct. The guys glossing it over by saying every winter is above normal are missing the point. using the new baseline, it still would be a warmer than normal winter. Lets see what November brings. This week is shot again. Back above normal already, 80 tomorrow, 70s through Friday. It doesn’t signal a cool down or a pattern change, but rather a transient cool shot. Let’s see how we do early next week. If late next week starts to look like 70 again, you know what we are dealing with…and it isnt good

Next sunday-tuesday

Only 57F at noon. 49F at 8am