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the_other_guy

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Everything posted by the_other_guy

  1. It’s funny AccuWeather has never wavered in their prediction 3 to 6 inches thru all the various models runs
  2. Help me learn… Why are you holding the GFS is such regard after the last two storms? It seems that it has been quite bad this season
  3. I dont get the doom and gloom. Looks like a nice little storm for the area. too much drama in this forum. No offense…
  4. The Cross County Parkway seems to be the freezing line. Once you get to the city you’re above 32F
  5. 30F Freezing Drizzle Ice on everything Going to be a real problem on roads Photo says it all
  6. As someone else pointed out before the storms are so much more powerful… Even if they are fast moving you can get a heavy duty haul
  7. Kaity Tong, Jack Cafferty haha WB 11
  8. The models do very well. Don’t manufacture a storm. Don’t manufacturer a bust. Right now the models are telling you there is going to be some snow Friday. Now the old Mr G line: “some snow or some snow?” That is TBD Im glad GFS is east…that means it will be a blizzard given its record this year
  9. 15F! I think Ive said this once or twice this season so far…it is a shame that little snow system didnt pan out…def would have had a few days of winter feel
  10. I think this has a lot to do with it. Nothing is really going right at the moment…including the winter weather many of us look forward to. This holiday season is like a Mets playoff run…
  11. This is not a bust. People cherry pick models and runs that show trends they like and Manufacture a snowstorm. The thing is this is not politics, there is no spin. You are either going to get snow or you’re not. Inside 24 hours northwest track is a red herring. GFS, this year, is a joke. It was south it was always going to be south. Flow too fast. Air too dry
  12. I said it yesterday…You need to watch that race NW within 24 hours. Seen it too many times. Almost never pans out If you find yourself saying “24 hours out and we dont know” you are talking yourself into a wishcast. The models are good. They do know!
  13. You know what to expect You just dont like it though
  14. On one hand: Im not a fan of chasing these last minute northward trends. The general gist is a snowstorm just south of us…and 24 hours out, that is a good bet On the other hand: I wouldnt discount a northward trend on GFS. What garbage on last storm. That alone can not be baseline for prediction I know its a bad winter, but be careful of wishcasting…
  15. The GFS was garbage for early Dec snowstorm I wouldnt buy into that
  16. In my lifetime, we never had wall to wall. Even 96 wasnt But yes, those days of getting close are gone. What is amazing to see are places in the Adirondacks like Lake Placid that used to be wall to wall no longer are. We went up there every christmas. Always snowy and cold. They havent has a good xmas week in years!! This change didnt happen gradually… it happen rapidly. All within 20 years
  17. See the problem? This is always 10 days out We had a winter like this several years ago 10 days out is fantasy land Anything in a reliable time frame shows the same pattern
  18. In my adult life I remember more New Year’s Days in the 50s then snow on the ground December has become such a disaster. Very sad
  19. Already closing in on 50F with brilliant sunshine. What a miserable month for winter lovers. Stick a fork in it
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