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the_other_guy

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Everything posted by the_other_guy

  1. Everyone is so busy talking about the next storm, no one is seeing the rapid melting in front of them. Kind of a metaphor for life, right?
  2. Temps in urban areas already above 40. Rain, rain and rain. These two days were much warner than any forecast
  3. Supertall buildings have been built for years. It is not a new thing. Harry Macklowe is a life long Manhattan developer. There is a great book on him and Trump and the GM Building called Liars Ball. Long story short, he knows what he is doing. If the building is falling apart, he knowingly built on the cheap
  4. Warm today. City was downright balmy. Over performed and lots of melting
  5. I think you need to give it some more time. I would like to see some more radar activity of the transition. Then lets see where shore temps stand. In fairness, shore mixing was always modeled. I read “that wont happen” many times haha
  6. We have a second house in Wading River for 30 plus years. Sometimes, during extreme coastal storms, they have done better than city. But for the most part, the climate fundamentals are against a start to finish coastal snowstorm on eastern LI. They are surrounded by water that is well above freezing all year long. The needle has to thread perfectly, and when it does it’s usually not a perfect storm for the city because it is too far east
  7. I always remember New York City mixing with rain. More often than not, major snowstorms ended with drizzle growing up in Queens It didnt effect totals too much...tail end stuff
  8. Another .5 overnight (which surprised me). Had this all fallen at night, the 1-3 would have worked. 1.1 inches total
  9. Rates have definitely picked up over the last 20 minutes, visibility down. I’m not sure how that’s happening because the radar is sparse, but that tells me this thing is blossoming a bit
  10. Rates are about to become non existent. nice little dusting
  11. For those that equated this weather to a New York City meal Appetizer: Peanut butter crackers out of the vending machine Main Course: You get to watch a girl named Virginia eat a day old Mc Donalds burger
  12. 5 years doesnt make a long term pattern, but I fear climate change has finally caught up to us. The gaps between snowfall, the gaps between cold air, the near constant plus 2...it is a killer for an area that had average highs in the upper 30s before this. Every event become a thread the needle scenario
  13. This week not producing is a big deal. Any winter with a goose egg in January isn’t a good winter buy any definition. Fat lady is starting to warm up boys. One warm outbreak in February and you can stick a fork in this winter...again.
  14. I think the question is minor vs non existent if trends hold correct
  15. The models are all saying the same thing over and over. Be it flurries, light snow, a dusting, or a couple or inches...this isnt our storm due to dry air shredding the storm apart. End of story...unless something changes dramatically. On Tuesday, let’s not have rehash of what went wrong with the models as we do time and again.
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