the_other_guy

Mid 90s TWC graphics!!

Yes they need such an extreme pattern to get accumulating snow… If you get your jollies off other peoples driving misery… YouTube Seattle snow icy roads. Hours of entertainment

Very rare and Almost always a bad sign for our snow chances

Which, given the endless warmth this December seems likely. You have your mid January saying…I have mine: Good winters don’t start with Decembers like this. Now you hope for a couple of large storms that save seasonal snowfall…but prolonged cold or “normal” winter conditions. Nah. And the dryness is also a concern

Ski season has been a disaster thus far. We are just getting going now…as you said 3 weeks late

Scary that there were 3 others warmer

Well AN air for the foreseeable future. Goose egg for December seems likely. 28F this morning…even that is AN for my location

It is happening

21F. 24 hours of winter for the solstice haha

What does “changing course” entail?

cutter on xmas? Cant even make this up…

Running +5. Quite warm pattern. barring one off stuff, NYC doesnt get snow with +5 Edit: And correcting warmer we get closer. Nyc now closing in on 50 for xmas. A few days ago, it was near freezing

Depends what you are looking for to save winter. Goose egg for Dec plus Sept thru Dec warmth doesnt lead to a good winter especially a Nina setup. Does one 30 inch historic storm save winter? Like 2015 Or was 2015 a scary island of warmth, with almost no snow outside that storm? That 30 inches melted in one week…which was crazy.

Only in a bad pattern when you are desperately looking for a new pattern. We had a very warm fall. Nov eeked out a negative. That was with the new baseline and it was barely negative. The latest guidance for the rest of December doesn’t look great. The fat lady hasn’t started singing yet but she’s warming up for December. We have also gone into a very dry pattern…Which we haven’t had much of lately. This isn’t how good winters start.

Looks like another AN week ahead. Some days very much so. Just a brutal month.

Forsythia has buds on it…

54F Beautiful. If you could lower the taxes it would be like living in the Carolinas. Still in shorts and a T. I find it interesting that we’re not even in the warmest departures across the nation. I guess it could have been worse thus far. Also of note, as I was flying over fly over country the past two days, There isn’t much snow anywhere… But if you’re going skiing in the Salt Lake City area Utah has been getting a good amount. That area and the eastern California are the only areas of snow cover observed

Are you the guy from Astoria quoted on page 4 of the Daily News? Feel better all kidding aside

You wonder how much longer skiing will be viable in the Catskills in this rapidly warming climate? Sad

youre living over a geothermal

This is different. never cooled down. this year, the solstice will actually be the cool point in the month thus far.

Yes like the 15° swing from Westchester to Queens this morning. You could almost plant pansies for xmas

Yeh. I dont get what is going on in this forum to be honest with you. Long range guidance is iffy at best. Even if we want to take it for Gospel, the pattern depicted is marginal for larger storms. I laugh when I read about clippers. Clippers are an Upper Midwest thing. They almost never produce for the NYC metro. Only thing that is certain is that it is warm the next few days. Then it will cool down and still be AN. Wash, rinse, repeat temp wise. December will end well above normal temperature wise… even with the new normal baeeline.

28F Below Freezing! Woohoo!

Beautiful weather out. No one is discussing it 50F Brilliant sunshine