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the_other_guy

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Everything posted by the_other_guy

  1. Yes. As we get inundated with technology and models, time and time again historical trends prove very relevant. We have 10 inches. That is good for the winter ahead
  2. Still have a consistent band sitting over me. I stopper shoveling because it keeps falling. Not quite over yet
  3. No they werent. Models had 2 ft depicted as far north as Albany with the Northward trend
  4. Well this was a Bust. A nice bust, but a pretty big bust nonetheless. Culprit wasnt mixing but dry slot Hastings on Hudson just shy of 8 inches; forecast 12-16 21F at 7 am
  5. It is a shame. Cold air really locked in over the region. Mixing really isnt the biggest issue. The precip just isnt there. No way we get to NWS forecast. Mine was 12-16. This is a nice little storm before xmas. Nothing more beyond that
  6. Hastings. Was def sleet during lighter precip. Back toward a light snow now. Vis up over last hour
  7. Looks like 1/2 mile and moderate snow Need 1/4 for heavy snow KISP 170021Z 05017G27KT 1/2SM R06/6000VP6000FT SN FZFG FEW005 BKN009 OVC015 M02/M02 A3012 RMK AO2 PK WND 04027/0018 P0001 T10171022
  8. I would go with that then. Airports are surprisingly good. All based on visibility as opposed to an observation from a window
  9. Just to throw this out there... Does anybody remember the Valentine’s Day storm? All sleet. Awesome storm. Stayed around for a long time. All of a sudden this forum that likes winter weather is so anti-sleet. You get a few hours of snow and several hours of sleet and you are in winter storm nirvana because that snowpack isnt going anywhere for a long time
  10. Dont be deflated. It is Dec 16. History tells us this Dec storm is a good harbinger of other storms. Also have a good airmass for the rest of Dec.
  11. You’re being too hard on yourself. You were talking about a 50 mile shift over several days of tracking. Unfortunately for Long Island 50 miles makes all the difference especially with warm water
  12. Correct. Several posters over the last couple of days have been talking about a Northward Trend. It verified. It just seems crushing because we had 50 plus pages of tracking before that telling us this was going to be an epic blizzard
  13. It really isn’t the models. It’s a social media world with people attached to their phones 24/7 I never saw so many storm specific threads on the website before. guys have been tracking this thing and every move it made for over a week. Of Course this was going to happen
  14. I go up on the water out there and within the Long Island spectrum that’s true. But when you look at the bigger picture, the eastern North Shore only works for snow if you have a good coastal setup as opposed to 15 miles North and West of the city line which can work in various marginal scenarios. The storm is a perfect example. If it isnt marginal, North Shore does great. But if it is marginal, you would rather be in White Plains than Huntington
  15. End. Always end unless you are in a 1996 scenario and you’re going for broke to see how much is on ground at once
  16. Sleet/snow/rain mix. Precip is racing the sunset. Shame. If it was a few hours later this may work out for some of us on the fringe
  17. A steady sleet/rain mix in southern Westchester Much of the morning. Temperature very stubborn and 37F
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