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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. LibertyBell
    well hopefully this gets vertically stacked and the track of the mid level low becomes a nonfactor
  2. LibertyBell
    what are the chances this gets vertically stacked?
  3. LibertyBell
    can owls catch covid from people?
  4. LibertyBell
    yeah this is exactly why a slight southward trend is better right now. Get it about 100 miles southeast of NYC.
  5. LibertyBell
    it's better to have a slight southward shift at this range
  6. LibertyBell
    to be honest a dry slot is better, like with the December storm, before it could mix the dry slot came in.
  7. LibertyBell
    was that the storm that caused the tragic crane accident in Manhattan?
  8. LibertyBell
    hmm March 2018? I was thinking of that too.....which also brings in March 1956. Wasn't that a la nina storm also?
  9. LibertyBell
    there's a 25.0 total in there? that has to be a major error.....
  10. LibertyBell
    in addition to temps, high winds will keep ratios lower
  11. LibertyBell
    what would you compare this to, Chris? Feb 1920, Feb 1961, Dec 1992, late Feb 2010, or Jan 2016?
  12. LibertyBell
    sounds somewhat like February 1961
  13. LibertyBell
    15-16 was very similar to 82-83 but even more extreme (in both directions!) In that case, perhaps we can say that climate change caused the greater extremes? 17-18 seems similar to that but with the opposite signal.
  14. LibertyBell
    wow 1996 had two 7+
  15. LibertyBell
    I love owls! Have you seen the piece about climate change causing color confusion among animals that change color in the winter?
  16. LibertyBell
    didn't you have a couple of analogs that included bookend winters?
  17. LibertyBell
    from what I've seen it looks like rain and sleet would only be around for a short time, Don? as the storm pushes east and stalls out it should be all snow
  18. LibertyBell
    this honestly sounds a lot like December, it wouldn't be the first time a pattern returns.
  19. LibertyBell
    there's also a difference between a gradient pattern in December vs one in the heart of winter.
  20. LibertyBell
    Beautiful pics Don! It's nice and sunny here
  21. LibertyBell
    whats the hold up, Walt? I thought the everyone was saying it's performing so much better.
  22. LibertyBell
    I mean the chances with these kinds of storms are that a large percentage of people will get "stiffed" unless it becomes something on the scale of Jan 96 or Feb 03. It could even seem like you wont get stiffed within 24 hours of the event.........and still get stiffed! Remember March 2001, February 2013 and January 2015? The last two were relative "stiffages" but we didn't get the 2-3 feet that were expected.
  23. LibertyBell
    One thing I noticed is that the members that have the low weaker have it moving more slowly and further to the south.
  24. LibertyBell
    Based on the EPS it seems to be less of a hugger than the December system and the SST are colder than they were then (even if still a little above normal, every little bit helps). The margin of error is probably greater than the width of Long Island right now
  25. LibertyBell
    it's awesome to see climate change breaking down the usual boring enso coupling.
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