LibertyBell

why does the GFS have a very strange zig zag rain snow line along the south shore lol?

a coating to 2 inches seems like a safe bet. Honestly I would be happy with 1 inch.

his "feet" must be the size of ants.

The part about re-examining global teleconnections is really interesting. It means that analogs no longer have any real value.

I think we're privileged to have seen 5 all time greats in those two sports in the last 40 years. Montana then Brady then Mahomes in football and Jordan then Lebron in basketball. I ranked Montana higher than Brady because of his perfect superbowl record and having basically thrown four perfect games in the superbowl because he threw no interceptions and faced the greatest defenses of all time under much tougher rules, but I feel like Brady nudged ahead with that last one because he won a superbowl with an entirely new team.

People are going to argue this like they argue Jordan vs Lebron. But for those of us who actually saw Jordan play there really is no comparison, nobody but nobody has ever dominated the game the way Jordan did and under much more strenuous conditions too.

Don what were the highs at Central Park, JFK and Newark? Did NYC get close to last year's record? Thanks!

a lot of people will not vote even if it's just raining

This was a storm that occurred early in the 1900s wasn't it? I remember we discussed it. What was the low for that storm? It dropped 5 inches And we had one much more recently that dropped 5.5 inches with a temp of 33. Both happened in April.

I think I just have a sore memory of the really bad ones where it was raining here and freezing rain in January in the Poconos lol. There was lots of that going on.

and he's not even a Yankees fan lol. He should be happy the Mets beat the Red Sox with a miracle comeback in 1986 and not worry so much about them lol

I'm not sure it was much more north and west of town back in the late 80s and early 90s and again in the late 90s, I think everyone was getting shut out of snow. I had a place in the Poconos since 1986 and there was lots of bare ground there in those time periods with very little snow.

Thanks Chris-- it's crazy to think about, but even with how horrible that period was, the last 2 years have been an order of magnitude worse than ANY of those years. There was only one season in that set that had less than a foot of snow and even that season had nearly twice the amount of snowfall of the last two years combined!

I have always believed that the planet has these kill switches tipping points built in as a natural check on out of control population growth (by any species really.) Think about it this way-- if natural kill switches didn't exist would we be here today? Probably not. If natural kill switches didn't exist would life even be sustainable long term on the planet without existing creatures consuming all the natural resources the planet has? Probably not. Finally, and here is something truly amazing. The fastest rates of evolution happen right after a mass extinction event, as nature and the planet seek to fill in the niches that have been left empty. In a near miraculous rate of evolution it has been conclusively proven that it took no more than 100,000 years (not even a million!) for rapidly evolving mammals to fill every niche left empty by the extinct dinosaurs. Not only that, but the key to their success was flowering plants, which also rapidly evolved after the K-T event. And these flowering plants provided the highly nutritious nuts that the mammals needed to develop complex brains that also rapidly evolved and eventually lead to us. All of nature and the planet is beautifully connected. Even plants are much smarter than we think they are, the trees of the Amazon regulate their own rainfall and entire forests and fungi communicate and network and work together to preserve the whole. The resiliency of nature is truly astounding and you can see glimpses of the grand plan not only in how it bounces back from mass extinction events but also how the planet self regulates to prevent any one species from becoming too dominant and using up all the planet's natural resources. This is the Gaia Theory in action!

It's why Mahomes can never be the GOAT though. Head to head Brady will always be 2-0, and at the tail end of his career too.

NYC has never averaged less than 20 inches per year per decade (rounded to the nearest inch) in its entire recorded history has it, Chris? Also let's keep in mind our totals now are a bit inflated compared to prior to 2000 because of measurement technique changes. But perhaps this is balanced out by inconsistent measuring of snowfall at Central Park lol.

Thanks Walt, MPO seems to be the place to be for this storm!

la ninas after el ninos tend to be really good

I know we had something like this in New York in 1998 towards the end of March, but the one I remember the best is the epic warm stretch in mid March in 1990 when we wore tshirts and shorts to school lol. It came close to 90 degrees! But after this it got cold again and we had 1-2" of snow in early April. And all this was after an epically mild January and February (for back then anyway) which came after a historically cold and dry December which came after our biggest Thanksgiving snowstorm which came after one of our most destructive fall severe seasons on record. The period from October 1989 through April 1990 was about as extreme as you can get in terms of weather.

I guess from JFK to NYC? I'll add in ABE and MPO JFK-2" NYC-4" ABE 8" MPO 12" Does this sound like a good estimate with the info we have right now?

do you still think the pattern breaks down by the 24th or will the SSW keep it going to the end of the month or even first week of March?

when?

Sounds like Presidents Day is our best bet. I'll be happy with 2 inches with this one.

Don what do you think here? The NBE is slowly increasing so maybe 2-4 is a nice call here to account for the Euro?

to be fair, I think he's only talking about the people on TV.... and he's right, they're not very good.