NJwx85
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Everything posted by NJwx85
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It’s starting to pivot West. Ground zero looks like the LHV.
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https://x.com/nynjpaweather/status/1707512095112081411?s=46&t=wnL9UkNay47lChNZhqU2Pw
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- heavy rain
- flooding potential
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NAM having major feedback issues. All I can say is LOL
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This is a tropical system. It's what is leftover from Ophelia that is fueling this.
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I would still lean on the high res meso models but the globals all have the same general idea of a large swath of 2-3" or rain. Wherever the training sets up will see 5-6"+
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- heavy rain
- flooding potential
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You only posted through 03z Saturday. The storm isn't over until Saturday afternoon at best.
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While the GFS lacks the resolution to show the details, it has the same general idea.
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This is about so much more than QPF totals. SREF probabilities are off the charts.
- 886 replies
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- heavy rain
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The GFS lacks the resolution. Definitely would lean hard on the meso's with this. This is pretty insane.
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Still hanging around on Saturday.
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3k NAM for tomorrow morning
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The 12z HRRR seems to be focusing the heaviest axis of rain East of the Hudson.
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If the HRRR verifies the river flooding along the Passaic basin could approach Irene levels. Water levels are already way above normal.
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The HRRR develops more rain tonight.
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Moderate rain and breezy here. You can see axis of steadiest rain North of NYC.
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The HRRR has a swath of 2-4” today over extreme NNJ and the LHV.
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Yes the models pivot it through our region.
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You can see the radar start to fill in as the remnant low starts to feel the moisture influx thanks to SE flow off the water.
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It’s pouring here with no echos overhead on radar.
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Pouring here with hardly nothing showing on radar
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18z GFS has multiple days in the low to mid 80’s for highs the first week of October.
