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NJwx85

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Everything posted by NJwx85

  1. NJwx85
    You’re consistently the most pessimistic poster here so your comment isn’t surprising.
  2. NJwx85
    Latest
  3. NJwx85
    There’s going to be a 6-8hr window where rates are at least 1” per hour. From about 15z to 00z.
  4. NJwx85
    Kuchera is 13.2 for NYC. 17.3 for MMU 17.4 SWF 16.4 HPN 11.4 ISP
  5. NJwx85
    Great run for everyone.
  6. NJwx85
    Overall it’s actually a tick colder by 06z. It also has the coastal about 100 miles further West at 06z Monday and it’s still snowing back to Ohio.
  7. NJwx85
    By 18z Sunday GFS is a tick North. Mix line into South Jersey vs DE Bay.
  8. NJwx85
    Through 12z Sunday very little change on the 18z GFS.
  9. NJwx85
    Yeah but it’s awfully close now. The JP zone has shifted to up near 84.
  10. NJwx85
    ZR on ICON
  11. NJwx85
    Also, the 18z 3k NAM is not bad North of I-80. Even losing some to virga, I counted 17 hours of moderate to heavy snow before any mixing takes place for my area. Basically 12z Sunday to 03Z Monday. And after 05z it’s pretty much drizzle from the Suffolk County line West.
  12. NJwx85
    18z ICON is one hell of an ice storm South of I-80. Plain rain on the Jersey coast up to about Tom’s River.
  13. NJwx85
    That NAM run wasn’t great but we’re still 36hrs out and things are going to continue to fluctuate. Any further North and there’s going to be some serious ZR issues for Southern parts of the area. Even as is, the NAM has about a 30 mile swath of 0.10 to 0.20 more or less over 95 with closer to a half inch South of Philly and into DC.
  14. NJwx85
    Off topic but GFS still has the big Miller A 2/2-2/3.
  15. NJwx85
    It’s a bit less than the GFS but not terrible.
  16. NJwx85
    The 3k NAM has the mix line near I-80.
  17. NJwx85
    Warmest panel is 03z. Sleet briefly into NYC, then dry slot.
  18. NJwx85
    00z Monday, still all snow from NYC North. Mixing gets into SI and Southern Brooklyn but it’s very close.
  19. NJwx85
    The NAM is improved. Mix line stalls South of the city.
  20. NJwx85
    In events like this, the warm nose tends to push up the Jersey coast and then up the Hudson. So Westchester might mix while interior NJ and NY stay all snow. More concerning to me today is the potential dry slot Sunday night.
  21. NJwx85
    I think that is closer to 287 but we’ll see.
  22. NJwx85
    The piles of black and yellow snow in Brooklyn are going to look great next week.
  23. NJwx85
    Well I personally think the sleet is overdone except on the South shore of LI and the Jersey shore.
  24. NJwx85
    Yeah, but it will have been well forecasted.
  25. NJwx85
    There’s going to a be a lot of pancaking on Sunday afternoon as the mix line advances.
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