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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Yea the 18z HRRR is definitely colder and wetter. More snow for I-95 and points north and west. More sleet than ZR for southern MD too.
  2. Heard it on WTOP. Just amended my post to clarify.
  3. WTOP just reported on air of a statewide emergency declaration for Maryland
  4. You are very close to the Clarksville mesonet site. It's almost in your backyard! Link: https://mesonet.umd.edu/station?stid=MDMSNT-01
  5. Clear trend on the Euro to also weaken the primary low at the surface and aloft quicker. Probably stunts the mid level warming so quickly. I want to see more of that today into tomorrow.
  6. Counties that border both sides of Mason-Dixon could push 14"+ per the 12z Euro.
  7. Canadian kills the inland low off quick and has a better high. Good signs and it's been trending this way for several runs.
  8. The 12z suite is good. If we can knock that warm layer down, then it would be a boom scenario wrt snowfall.
  9. It's *possible* the warm nose might not be as bad, and it's oscillating right on the edge of flipping between snow and sleet.
  10. Mt. Holly & Wakefield forecast for central and lower Delmarva
  11. RE: snow:water ratio forecasting. Thought this would be a good book mark for folks.
  12. FWIW, the 12z HRRR appears colder and holds the sleet line below I-66 through 12z/15z Sunday.
  13. RE: Freezing rain risk. See the response from @wxmvpete
  14. Big plus on the 12z NAM is that it appears to kill off the primary surface low quick, and further south.
  15. 00z GFS is the best case scenario. 8"-12" along I-95, 12"-16" immediate western suburbs. 16"+ west of US 15.
  16. Through HR51, the surface high and subsequent CAD seems stronger on the 00z NAM.
  17. Not a dru patch, just subsidence behind that band in northern MD.
  18. Same. Hope 00z is better for all. Mix events are exasperating to work.
  19. Well said. A big weekend for the mesonet though. Its first widespread winter storm.
  20. One thing for sure, the rest of this month is cold.
  21. GFS just locks that high in over the St. Lawrence Valley every run.
  22. In GFS we trust. Heavens yes. All snow with no precip issues.
  23. Oh man that would be a disaster. Thank the gods it's the RGEM.
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