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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Yes more details on this please so I can replicate!
  2. Not sold on widespread 100s. It's several days out, some models like the Euro have a known mid range heat bias, and it's rare to get an airmass that supports many 100+ degree air temperatures readings. We probably won't know until next Tuesday if we're going to have a legit heat wave on our hands, or if this is just going to be a few hot days.
  3. Evergreen posts in this subforum.
  4. Yup. 18z NAM is rather dry. A narrow stripe of 1" - 2" along I-66, while just about everyone else gets less than half an inch.
  5. We don't do complex well in these parts. Safer to take the under on this event.
  6. Almost an inch of rain and we got concrete poured with some creative tenting. Double win.
  7. Solid downpour running from IAD to Vienna
  8. Hope you get a soaking rain. Everyone needs it.
  9. Maryland airmass isn't overturned yet. Might be some decent elevated convection?
  10. The rainfall across Southern MD is great. Some of the mesonet sites down there are essentially hard pan.
  11. Finally get field work, including concrete and trench digging schedule for tomorrow and it decides to rain.
  12. Not to be a deb, but this doesn't look as impressive on the severe side as it did a few days ago. Definitely a chance for multiple rounds of thunderstorms today, but the overall spatial coverage and helicity seem to have backed off.
  13. Doesn't seem like a real favorable environment for tornadoes tomorrow. Recent HRRR and 00z NAM trying for more low end straight line risk.
  14. 00z HRRR is wetter for many, but no severe. I'll take it.
  15. Just give me until Tuesday evening. Got field work on Monday and pouring concrete on Tuesday.
  16. 12z and 18z NAM looked decent but the 00z NAM is dry and boring as burnt toast.
  17. Not event wet under the trees in Gaithersburg.
  18. June 13, 2013 comes to mind. Granted that was a Day 2 MOD, but the morning convection blew through and dropped a surface boundary that fire up the Leesburg to Rockville to College Park tornado.
  19. AI will not remove the forecasters. I can't even get a Comcast AI bot to schedule a service appointment, there's no way an AI person will replace a forecaster at a WFO when I need help.
  20. Looks like elevated convection at best. Yup. We at least need the rain. Would be surprised if we actually get into the mid 90s like previously forecast.
  21. Watch that be the biggest tornado of the day.
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