Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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Liberty Reservoir was steaming this morning as I drove over it.
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BWI: 9.0 DCA: 5.0 IAD: 10.0 RIC: 2.0 SBY: 2.0 EDIT: I revised everything downward. We've been in a 10 year unfavorable PDO and it's La Nina.
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Perfectly fine with that. Will be interesting to see a few things: 1.) How much punch these zonal flow setups have this month. Do we stay relatively close to normal, or are we torching into the upper 70s? 2.) When the pattern does flip back, is it delayed? Another can kick winter? Will there be a decent storm, etc.?
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While I understand that we do not want to have the perfect pattern in November, I'm glad that we do not appear to be staring down the barrel of a wall-to-wall Pacific Puke™ fest. If I recall correctly, @Rainshadow had posted some stats in the past about the implications of mild to torch Novembers vs. average to below average November temperatures. Equally encouraging is to see the CFS and CANSIPS trying for at least climo temps for winter.
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Wow. Is there any plan to fix this?
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How about the week of 12/12?
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Man if we hit climo snow regionwide with a -1 to -2 temp departure, I think that'd be solid.
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I got nothing. Let's go!
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It's time to start fretting over pumpkin pie, Black Friday and first flakes. Let's go!
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Wasn't Ji going on about the winter being dead on Christmas Day during the warm up?
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Several mesonet sites on the central and lower eastern shore have popped above 70 degrees. Meanwhile Bittinger is 49.
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Agreed. Thought I wouldn't kick a 1" - 3" car topper on December 5th out of bed.
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2016-2018 were back to back years of terrible IMBY. But 2017-2018 was the worst of the two. As @psuhoffman said, 2017-2018 had bad dice rolls on game day. So I'd take that pattern again and chance it.
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HRRR is preferred
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2017 was terrible for me, but the other analogs listed here weren't the worst.
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Both Frostburg and Bittinger mesonet sites had a sub-50 degree high today.
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NAM Nest insists on decent surface winds Thursday am commute.
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Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
Eskimo Joe replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
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Looks like we'll finally get a good autumn soaker. Even better, we're inside 60 hrs, so the chance of a last minute fail goes down.
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Just rage engagement farming.
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Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
Eskimo Joe replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Welp
