Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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I always nitpick. It's my nature. I'm a firm believer that it's easier to reel in a storm if the western features are more cooperative. Helps to set the east coast trough up better.
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Sharpen that western CONUS ridge up a bit more and I'm all in.
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Blerg. I thought I cross pollinated this in the winter thread.
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Couple of very, very early thoughts as we continue to slide through autumn: 1.) Seems like the Euro OP midrange QPF bias beyond HR 150 is real. 2.) Long range warm ups may be head fakes. Also, as @mitchnick has observed it's good to see a persistent trough over Japan. 3.) I have no expectations that we're going to see some SECS or HECS this winter, but man it'd be nice to get a forum wide 6" - 10" event.
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Thank you for the analysis. I do appreciate it. Thank you. Seems like we don't torch and have a short to get at least one warning level snowfall event. I'll take it. I appreciate the insight. Thank you!
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Anyone got winter stats at BWI, IAD, or DCA for a cold November in a weak -ENSO or ENSO neutral?
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Just no rain on Halloween please.
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"Epic flood breaks epic drought." - @usedtobe
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If that pans out on the Euro, I'll donate to the board. Euro long range QPF bias is real.
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Just need the 27th and 31st dry.
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M0.43" Clear Spring mesonet site.
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Line warned in Allegany County/WV:
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Cumberland gusted to 50 mph.
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Linkwood mesonet site gusted to 35.
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Betting line is open for the strongest mesonet/asos wind gust with the frontal passage this evening. I'm going with 45mph at Keedysville.
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All good points. For clarity, I'm okay with cold and dry. I just cannot tolerate a warm winter. There is something so very unwholesome about 70s in the dead of winter in these parts.
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Man three duds. Hope you're dead wrong.
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Yes, we're watching it today. DM me if you're up there next year, our barn gets a tent on Saturday near jump 16/25 and you'd be welcome to stop by!
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We all need to remember this for the winter. Early read is a trend towards drier solutions as we near an event.
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Up at the 5 Star in Cecil County. It definitely feels like deep autumn.
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For all you southern Maryland folks. @wxmeddler and I did a thing today! Not too far from @usedtobe
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1.) Layhill was colder than Clarksville...impressive. 2.) Check out the mesonet stations on the eastern shore near the bay. They're warmer than the left side, wonder if there was some weak NW flow pushing the marine air over places like Ferry Cove.
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More ridging in western Canada please and thank you.
