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Eskimo Joe

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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Jan 26, 2011 is the closest I can think of: https://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2011/26-Jan-11.html https://www.weather.gov/lwx/20110126snow
  2. Eskimo Joe
    It was well written. Nicely done.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    12z runs tomorrow are me go/no go for this. I certainly would love to out with a bang. Just go bull bore on this.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    That's a power grid killer right now.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Every run is deeper and closer to the coast.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Yea I don't want to jinx this. We're so close.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Would be a 4"-6" event for many.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Yes thermals do appears better on the HRRR.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    50 miles west is all we need.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Got a map?
  11. Eskimo Joe
    That appears to be much closer to the coast than before.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Current watch configuration makes sense ATTM. Lines up with the climo favored areas.
  13. Eskimo Joe
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Mt. Holly hoisting watches. The language definitely signals a moderate to high impact event:
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Matches my thoughts well. Coating to 2" for I-95, 2" - 4" immediate suburbs, 4" - 6" in the elevation favored areas, maybe a few 6"+ reports if you get a combo of the three items you listed above. Amazing how we're tripping into this event. First time in awhile I've seen the GFS take the lead on anything.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    That storm gives me PTSD.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Yes. Jan 26, 2011 was the best example of how we "win" with a marginal airmass. A rapidly strengthening storm that flips to frozen precip as nightfall occurs. Of course, that storm was at the end of January with a lower sun angle and occurred during a more climo favored time of the year.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Razor close for so many on the 12z Euro. We're talking a difference of two degrees either way means huge boom or bust potential. Smart money is to bank on things being warmer than forecast at the surface. 9/10 times, if we're relying on precipitation rates to dynamically cool the atmosphere we're going to lose.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    12z Euro is incrementally better upstairs, but the surface is just torched.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Yes that's a good position and strength.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    This has al the markings of an event where there's 2" - 4" of snow on the roads, but 10" on the power lines and trees.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    You can almost feel everyone holding their breath for the Euro.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    GFS 10:1 map would be a disaster for the power crews.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    I'll take the 00z Euro in a skinny minute. Off to bed. We live to fight another day.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Curious what the 00z GFS-AI has. anybody got details?
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