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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Not surprising that PHL to NYC are going gangbusters on heat. You're on the northern periphery of a strengthening mid level ridge in early July. Max heat advection.
  2. The Edgewood mesonet site, located in Harford County, just came in at 95/81, producing a heat index of 117°. The 117° reading is a new network wide record for the mesonet.
  3. DCA hit 99° on the intra hour just now. So close!
  4. The Baltimore City mesonet site is making a legit run for 100° air temp.
  5. Nothing beats watching the Phillies on UPN 57 in the 90s when Mike Lieberthal would put his feet in buckets of cold water in between innings. The Vet was its own hell hole, but man we loved it.
  6. I LOVE my tempest. Get the power pack as well. You won't regret it!
  7. DCA with an intra-hour 97°. I think we do stand a chance to make 100° today.
  8. ^wow. They're a lock for 100. Probably Philly and Lancaster too!
  9. NYC is the Central Park site, yes? The NYC subforum has been screeching for years about poor vegetation management on that location. For NCY to be 94° in essentially an over shaded, sheltered location at 11am bodes we for an upper 90s kind of day.
  10. Yes apparent temp is a combo map. It's heat index when it's hot, wind chill when it's cold. All credit goes to @wxmeddler
  11. Yea the RRFS may be a formula for better future CAMs. I still like the HRRR because it shows what would happen if we overmix by some chance, almost like a goalpost kind of scenario.
  12. Yup. I remember the heat waves in Philly during the 90s. The air was brown and it smelled like ash or batteries (ozone?). Just the worst.
  13. Per the 12z IAD sounding, the convective temp is 95°. We are slightly warmer at 700mb compared to yesterday, and there's weak warm air advection noted as well between 600mb - 800mb. That should work to maintain a reasonably stout cap throughout the day.
  14. IAD and BWI are probably a lock. DCA will always be heavily dependent on a river wind. That being said, I would tend to agree with you.
  15. Unfortunately, Virginia does not have a statewide mesonet.
  16. 12z IAD sounding shows warmer temps today at 700mb, now +12°. We're probably capped against any thunderstorm chances outside some rogue surface boundary like a sea breeze, etc.
  17. The Baltimore City mesonet site, located on 12 acres of grass at the Montebello Water Treatment plant, already has a heat index of 91° and an air temperature in the mid 80s.
  18. I was worried we wouldn't have maxed temps today and struggled in the lows 90s. As with any decent event, once you start slinging warnings and changing plans, etc. you need the event to pan out or you'll look foolish. So let's just go for broke and make this one to remember.
  19. If DCA doesn't get river winded tomorrow and Friday they could pull back to back 100s.
  20. 12z IAD sounding had +11° temps at 700mb we are capped baby.
  21. They might've hit 100° today if they weren't river winded for so long.
  22. The airport being 102° by itself would be suspect, but there's a fairly well sighted APRS/COOP site south of there sitting at 99°. That area of Westminster has become very built up over the past decade so it's possible?
  23. Air temp in Poolesville hit 97°, new record high temperature for the site.
  24. That's what you get when you hire @wxmeddler!
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