Yes that's definitely impressive. I was skeptical that a November SSWE was going to be a head fake, but it's becoming more evident the Euro and it's ensembles might be onto something here. At the very least, I'm glad that we aren't looking at some compact polar vortex that just locks up all winter.
IMO, we'll know for sure by Christmas. If all the hopes, prognostications, and predictions of December coming in cold, and potentially snowy, end as a mirage or just a "kicking the can pattern" then we know we're in for a miserable winter.
The 18z GFS has finally started to trend toward the Euro and Canadian at bringing the PV lobe farther southwest. Maybe this increases the chances for conversational flurries on Monday, 11/10?
We're really starting to see some impressive microclimates emerge. Thurmont dipped to 34 degrees, but just to the northeast Harney at its lower elevation decoupled to 26 degrees.