12z GFS is a reasonable "fail" scenario where the shortwave doesn't eject cleanly -AND- the confluence to the north is stronger. Even with that in mind, it looks like a solid plowable to warning level snowfall for the entire subforum with no temp issue - and it's on a weekend.
It's absolutely beautiful. CAD Signature all the way to interior South Carolina, moisture laden storm, banana high from Quebec down to Texas. This is perfect.
Standard Disclaimer: RE: mixing
To keep from and mixing, we do not want to primary low running too deep into West Virginia. Also would need some sort of coastal transfer to lock in cold air east of the mountains.
Thursday looks like the only "warm" day and that's upper 30s/low 40s. The rest of the week looks primed to keep the ground cold. High in the 30s, lows in the mid 20s.
Yes. It's really encouraging to have the Euro EPS, Euro, and Euro-AI on our side. Even the Canadian, and UKMET are trying for something. There's clearly a signal for a storm and we're now inside HR 150 for most of the event.