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Eskimo Joe

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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    New Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued from Cecil/Kent counties northeast into Philadelphia.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Latest SPC mesoanalysis has an axis of ~2,500 SBCAPE in southern PA. Wonder if the southern edge of that enhanced CAPE might act as a boundary for the northern and western crew later?
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Yup. That is the cell I was referring to. Would love to be up in Cascade, MD looking at this from their overlook. One of the prettiest places I've every been.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Thus far, the best cell of the day appears to be running just north of Mason-Dixon into PA. Consistent CG, tops sustained about 35,000 feet, and now some damage reports coming out as LSRs via CTP.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Split the difference and it's a standard Mid Atlantic Slight Risk™.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Latest HRRR is essentially a bust. Some hit or miss storms, but nothing that would amount to more than half an inch of rain, and certainly not severe.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Per the 12z sounding at IAD, the Conv. Temp is 93°. Hoping to get us into the low 90s to maximize whatever we can today.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    If you really want to see something depressing, check out the consistently large data gap of 00z/12z RAOBs across the intermountain west, desert southwest, and upper plains. Watching the US upper air network get decimated willy nilly is just a sight to behold.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    06z GFS is 2"-3" from I-70 north Friday into Saturday.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    11z HRRR mixes our low level dewpoints out to the upper 50s by initiation time (~2:00 pm), while the NAMNAM Nest keeps the dews in the 60s.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Crap app
  12. Eskimo Joe
    We have our annual fire department carnival from Wednesday to Saturday in New Windsor, Carroll County. Would absolutely LOVE to have the rain hold off until Saturday after 9pm. It's one of our biggest fundraisers.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    That's an understatement. Some places got almost half an inch of rain but the vegetation continues to suck it all up. Almost nothing is making it into ground water.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Just give us thunder and like half an inch of rain. We could really benefit from it.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    This plus a climo decrease in tropical chances due to El Nino really are a wet blanket for this summer. Do we just go hot and dry all season?
  16. Eskimo Joe
    RSMT2 COOP Site, I somehow managed M2.02" for April.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    I'll be down in OC MD from May 26th - 30th for a conference. I realllly hope the weather cooperates this year. Seems like every year it's 43 degrees, fog, and a stiff wind off the ocean.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    It was a TDS. Damage was reported almost immediately, but when you're warning or trying to detect tornadoes in rural areas with a high beam height, you're going to miss things. The same thing happened the other year in Garett County when the TDS pushed above 11,000 ft, the radar out of Pittsburgh finally saw it. Unfortunately, it was too late by then.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Thank you again for the information.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Appreciate the response and map! What month, if any, would average much above average precipitation so that we can put a real dent in this drought.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    What about June?
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Warmer global temps = more instability = more wind
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Several 30+ gusts today.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    If it's a raging, basin wide El Nino in September, then it's time to just put the coffin in the ground IMO. We might get lucky with a 2016 like fluke, but I wouldn't bet money on it happening twice in a decade.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    If it's a strong, basin wide El Nino then I mentally prepare for 1998 or 2022-23.
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