Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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Borderline violent thunderstorm dropping south from Martinsburg, WV. Could go bonkers once it hits this dual outflow boundaries. This should have been an ENH risk for wind today IMO.
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Yes, and the results are impressive: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/soundings/25073118_OBS/
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Sterling putting up a special 18z balloon.
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It feels like a warm wash cloth outside.
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I think an ENH for wind is justified.
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D2 MOD flood risk from EZF to PHL.
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Entirely possible the rest of the summer is at or below normal. We can save our heat waves for Christmas!
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Okay, I've seen enough. CAMs look good for tomorrow, and we have a solid front slicing into the heat dome. Tomorrow looks like a legit severe weather episode from DC towards Trenton tomorrow. Likely wet microbursts and isolated, but intense flash flooding. The only two fail modes I could see are abundant debris clouds from overnight convection to our NW, or somehow a bunch of stuff fires over the I-64 corridor and mucks up the overall mean flow into the line. Otherwise, I'm in.
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Yup. Just in time for my Aug 2-9 trip to Chincoteague.
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It's almost like there's been pulses of EMLs riding on little shortwaves over the mountains. Quite impressive.
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Agreed. Someone in the Mid Atlantic will have a decent severe weather / flooding day when this heat breaks.
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IMO, hot but tolerable. Less than 30% chance of storms.
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I go to the beach from Aug. 2nd to 9th. So naturally, the weather will be bunk.
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If we're going to get a big severe event this summer, next week is the window. Looks solid at this range.
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Where did you find that? Nice chart.
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What cross street are you near on Sligo Creek.
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Thanks for the kind words. I'm glad Maryland and its counties are investing in this infrastructure.
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Just went gangbusters. That is one of the most vulnerable watersheds in Montgomery County. Terrain, loose soils and urbanization are tremendous stressors on that waterway.
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That was from one of our county flood sensors near Sligo Creek Pkwy & New Hampshire Ave (MD 650). I've never seen water levels rise that quickly at that location. I actually wound up requesting the upgrade to a flash flood emergency. Our flood sensors inside the beltway just went bonkers so fast. Cabin John Branch, Rock Creek, Sligo Creek, and Northwest Branch just started raging in under half an hour. This was the worst flash flood event I have ever worked in my entire career. Had this persisted for just another 20 to 30 minutes, we would've had real problems in Montgomery County. The flood sensors we installed, combined with the Layhill and College Park mesonet sites raised alarm bells quickly, which resulted in us getting roads closed and water rescue assets staffed quickly. It was one of the few times in my career that I actually felt helpless as things went sideways.
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Wow that cluster of storms running along the topside of the DC Beltway is nasty.
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^preview of Winter 2025 - 2026? Maybe we'll get whacked?
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Agreed. Some three or four day stretch of dry mid 90s heat that just feels like a crisper.
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Nearly five inches of rainfall this month. RSTM2 COOP site. Impressive.
