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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    I could be wrong, but I don't think these storms survive into Maryland with enough strength to warrant a watch. If they were even an hour or two earlier then yes.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    The VIL/VILD and KDP on that stuff in Pittsburgh is nuts.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Hell of a cell merger about to go right over City of Pittsburgh.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Check out the left moving supercell into that line in Pittsburgh. Man SW PA is just a thunderstorm machine this summer.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like the Potomac River into NOVA is favored. Maryland side is just too worked over.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Cloud top to 55,000 ft on that cell just NW of Pittsburgh
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Time to chase the Allegheny Front
  8. Eskimo Joe
    It's likely the hail core interfering with the radar beam. Note how the broad rotation is behind the best VIL.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    These repeated dying MCS's running into MD make me far more pessimistic that we get anything of substance below Mason-Dixon today. We're just working the atmosphere over too much.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    The atmosphere is so worked over and there's a metric ton of debris clouds. Classic fail modes in these parts.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    PA and NY stole this week from us.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    You must be new here.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    GRAF is a garbage model. I've never seen it get anything even remotely correct.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Called it. ENH in NY and a tornado watch.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Verizon doing Verizon things. All stations are online and logging data locally. Once the larger issue is resolved, everything will back date quickly.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    High of 94° today in Reisterstown. First 90°+ reading since August 11th at my location.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    That's terrible news. St. Louis University has turned out some incredible meteorologists and climatologists.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Wednesday and Thursday could be legit ENH or MOD for someone in the Northeast or Mid Atlantic.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Yup 12z GFS go gung ho through mid September.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    I could see this being a warmer and drier than average September in these parts. That southern ridge just keeps on flexing itself.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Never underestimate an EML in NW flow events. Source: https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/wefo/25/4/2010waf2222363_1.xml
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Summer is waiting to return in time for Christmas
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Some of us are cursed to find employment in Maryland
  24. Eskimo Joe
    As many other respected ENSO folks on here have said, we need to wait until we get deeper into autumn to see if and how this El Nino would couple with the atmosphere. Some early signs suggest this has already starter, brand it would be great to see this thing lead to a wet autumn. A couple decent regionwide shakers would end this persistent drought.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    The end of August is always a rough time for my brain. On one hand, I love the warm days and promises of football to come. On the other hand, my snow addiction starts to rear its ugly head and I find myself reading past snow event thread. Send help.
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