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Daniel Boone

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  1. Daniel Boone
    I agree with your assessment Carver. I'm thinking a further east trend with systems the farther along we go. Probably be cutters and eastern trajectory one's early in but expect more similar to what we witnessed this last system. So, odds look more promising for snow in our snow starved eastern area's, particularly if the SSW stimulates the usual Blocking. My added 2 cents worth.
  2. Daniel Boone
    I'm 60 and it's the least snowy I can recall here. Just 2.6" so far.
  3. Daniel Boone
    Most times I agree with Coz but, not this time. Reason being, SSW, MJO and Enso change. Btw, meant to mention in the post of who Coz is. He and Dave Dierks were friends in College. Dave credits him for taking Meteorology as a Major.
  4. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, it's just ridiculous. Parts of the area may not reach Atlanta Climo. I'm still in hopes enough comes together end month first March to save it from being least snowy on record here.
  5. Daniel Boone
    Tonight's SRM's trend should be showing with each run now irt snowfall uptick. Rgem gets onvoard, we're good.
  6. Daniel Boone
    You'll get slammed.
  7. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, it's sad. Perfect track but, no typical cold around. Only in this poor excuse of a Winter. P. S.., I've saw a similar system dump heavy snow in April.
  8. Daniel Boone
    Yeah. Too bad Euro is not what it once was.
  9. Daniel Boone
    Excellent analysis ! Nothing to add to that.
  10. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, hi-res euro showing decent amounts northern valley and plateau.
  11. Daniel Boone
    That's the blend of models output.
  12. Daniel Boone
    They may be doing what KMRX does and display the NBM output.
  13. Daniel Boone
    Good post . Spot on. The Nam last I knew still has a warm bias. Don't think it was ever corrected. Also, I think your location and 2500+ ele should do fine.
  14. Daniel Boone
    hmm., faster arrival time before daytime heating should make for colder. tht's what looked like is what caused models to back off on snowfall; the later arrival of precip till Sunday afternoon.
  15. Daniel Boone
    Actually, it should help.
  16. Daniel Boone
    Or that famous dyslexic hothead one, lol
  17. Daniel Boone
    This Winter has been basically a hybrid strong Nina/Nino one.
  18. Daniel Boone
    Yeah' should of adhered to it even though it has been showing what we didn't want to see irt snow. It has been the best overall SRM for this area the last 3 Winter's.
  19. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, remember it well. Very mild Winter. Spring came , along with several high ele. snowfalls thru mid April.
  20. Daniel Boone
    They are generally right for the cental/ Southern Valley and have gotten some better for northern sections. Spotter reports are few from SWVA so, that is one reason for being less accurate for northern zones but, they have increased somewhat and seems to be helping. KMRX uses solely NBM so, take that for what it is i. e, if a superior model such as the EURO once was showed 12" snowfall for the entire Valley but, the rest showed 1-4" the NBM Output would be abysmal regardless of the best models output. No specific Model is weighted more.
  21. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, that is what they do. NBM all the way.
  22. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, good reason for that with the SSW effects coinciding with what looks to be other parameters lining up. Cross Polar Flow looks to be in the picture as well. So, providing something doesn't throw a monkey wrench late Feb/ to mid March may be our most wintry period of this lackluster Winter. The West has had a wall to wall, trifecta one. Been a long time since we've had that. Thinking 2009-10 or maybe 2010-11 was last one.
  23. Daniel Boone
    A good point. I've been thinking along the same lines. Makes sense actually. It has been acting like a hybrid Strong Nina/Nino.
  24. Daniel Boone
    I'm shocked, lol
  25. Daniel Boone
    CMC looks a bit fouled in it's precip output. This thing should be juiced, imo . Strong Gulf RH injection, UL energy etc.. really can't see where it could be getting a decrease in Precip output.??.
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