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Everything posted by Daniel Boone
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
That Nino pattern may fall somewhat inline with the late SSW typical affect. If so, we'll some some late wintry weather.- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
They sometimes help us irt an eastern trough and cold but, not always. Usually, once it's effects begin affecting the Atmosphere it warms up around here as heights tend to pump and many times lend to a -NAO. The downstream eastern trough is usually as Carver mentioned, 2 to 3 weeks. A rather promising study Larry(Gawx) in the SE Forum did shows that pretty much all late January onward SSW's resulted in a rather sustained period of cold and wintry Weather 10-20 days afterward. The Cold period lasted 2-4 weeks !- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Exactly. It definitely has been a mild Month. If something drastic doesn't happen pretty soon, the Winter will go down as another mild one. What really gets to me sometimes is when we have an overall mild winter but, have an extreme cold shot, folks say what a bad Winter it was . The balance can be 3 -4 degrees above average and they still do that. Lol. My take is, the SSW will possibly bring us a decent period of Winter weather Mid Feb till possibly mid March and that may balance the mild to near Normal.- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Hopefully things trend colder and we wind up with a respectable amount although, 1-3" is in this lackluster Winter, lol. Nam did have a couple degrees warm bias right up to zero hour so, something to watch if it comes down to riding the fence Temp wise during event and it's showing just a degree or two above demarcation at critical levels.- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
While we wait for our Snow, we can watch the drama in Truckee California. They have several feet on the ground and another round is just beginning. I watch this Cam pretty often. http://tahoetopia.com/webcam/downtown-truckee- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yep. Let's hope it pays dividends this time. I have a feeling it will. If a 50-50 materializes I'll bank on it.- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Good stuff! I'm feeling more confident about this one than I ever did with December mirage. Hope your Relatives are doing better man .- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, verbatim that's some heavy snow for at least parts of the area.- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Let's pay attention to the 50-50 area during the systems propagation crossing the Mississippi. Hopefully, we'll have at least a semblance of one as we need it to help stave them from cutting.- 923 replies
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January 12-13 Severe and NWFS Event
Daniel Boone replied to fountainguy97's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, it's obvious that's what they're doing. Just don't want average folks to know how bad they missed their forecasted amounts. They do that with the Temps on their city Temp forecast maps and the ones showing previous days high and lows. -
January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, with whatever tinkering they did with it to correct it's somewhat cold bias they overtinkered, lol.- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Just look at who and what has taken control of our Govt and what's happened to our Country and there's your answer, if any of that sect has any influence over it. We've sat back and let crooks, liar's, thieves and perv's ruin our Nation.- 923 replies
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January 12-13 Severe and NWFS Event
Daniel Boone replied to fountainguy97's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, no doubt you would have easily. -
January 12-13 Severe and NWFS Event
Daniel Boone replied to fountainguy97's topic in Tennessee Valley
Wow ! Radar returns showed that are getting trained. I went to Ben hur( between Jonesville and Pennington gap) and they had received 3 inches. Just a couple miles nw of my home around same elevation. My Total was officially reported as 1.5" but, upon further observation there was 1.8 to 2" further away from house on the Lawn. -
January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, lr will tend to want to show some enso base state pattern influences such as Alaskan/Aleutian ridging. Probability is higher of those occurrences with Nina base state as we know. Hopefully, a PV stretch or MJO will thwart that but, won't be surprised if the former happens. Wavelengths will begin shortening in Feb. as Carver alluded to so , things will shuffle for sure.- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
I used to interact with him but, lost all respect. He is, as is any passioned Met or Enthusiast, knowledgeable in pretty much all facets of Meteorology. However, he is the epitome of Narcissist. Very insulting and demeaning if anyone disagrees with him. He busted terribly with his Wolfing Winter Storm back in December. He , as most other's did, bit the Model's projections. Thing is, if you brought it to his attention he'd lose his cool and excise it off somehow.- 923 replies
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January 12-13 Severe and NWFS Event
Daniel Boone replied to fountainguy97's topic in Tennessee Valley
About an inch and a half here. Sun's coming out now. Much of County did receive more but, I wound up with more than expected as it looked last night we'd be lucky to get an inch. -
January 12-13 Severe and NWFS Event
Daniel Boone replied to fountainguy97's topic in Tennessee Valley
Shafted here so far. heavy dusting. looks like western end of County doing good. -
January 12-13 Severe and NWFS Event
Daniel Boone replied to fountainguy97's topic in Tennessee Valley
light snow falling here. -
January 12-13 Severe and NWFS Event
Daniel Boone replied to fountainguy97's topic in Tennessee Valley
Exactly. They're showing way more than typical elevation differences. Could be there factoring boundary layer heavier than usual.